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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Badstübner

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T T S S S

0–1

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

5,0

4,0

Scored

3,2

2,3

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 57%

53%

60%

Points per game

1,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 64%

60%

67%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

2,3

1,9

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

15 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 5. · Holstein Kiel 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	16	8	8	0	+16	32
2	Holstein Kiel	15	9	2	4	+6	29
3	Hamburg	16	8	4	4	+9	28
4	Greuther Furth	16	8	4	4	+7	28
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	8	3	4	+16	27
6	Hannover	16	6	6	4	+10	24
7	Hertha	16	7	3	6	+7	24
8	Elversberg	15	7	3	5	-1	24
9	Paderborn	16	7	3	6	-3	24
10	Wehen	16	6	3	7	-3	21
11	Nurnberg	15	6	3	6	-8	21
12	Magdeburg	16	5	5	6	+3	20
13	Karlsruhe	16	4	6	6	-1	18
14	Kaiserslautern	16	5	3	8	-7	18
15	Hansa Rostock	15	5	2	8	-6	17
16	Schalke 04	15	5	1	9	-6	16
17	Braunschweig	16	3	2	11	-16	11
18	Osnabruck	16	1	5	10	-23	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	8	7	0	1	+12	21
2	Greuther Furth	9	6	2	1	+12	20
3	St Pauli	8	4	4	0	+11	16
4	Hannover	8	4	3	1	+11	15
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	4	2	2	+3	14
6	Hertha	7	4	1	2	+12	13
7	Kaiserslautern	9	4	1	4	+0	13
8	Holstein Kiel	8	4	1	3	+0	13
9	Schalke 04	7	4	0	3	+5	12
10	Karlsruhe	8	3	3	2	+3	12
11	Wehen	8	3	3	2	-1	12
12	Magdeburg	7	3	2	2	+4	11
13	Paderborn	7	3	2	2	+1	11
14	Nurnberg	7	3	2	2	-2	11
15	Elversberg	7	3	1	3	-1	10
16	Hansa Rostock	8	3	1	4	-2	10
17	Braunschweig	8	2	2	4	-5	8
18	Osnabruck	9	1	3	5	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	St Pauli	8	4	4	0	+5	16
3	Elversberg	8	4	2	2	+0	14
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	4	1	2	+13	13
5	Paderborn	9	4	1	4	-4	13
6	Hertha	9	3	2	4	-5	11
7	Nurnberg	8	3	1	4	-6	10
8	Magdeburg	9	2	3	4	-1	9
9	Hannover	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Wehen	8	3	0	5	-2	9
11	Greuther Furth	7	2	2	3	-5	8
12	Hamburg	8	1	4	3	-3	7
13	Hansa Rostock	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Karlsruhe	8	1	3	4	-4	6
15	Kaiserslautern	7	1	2	4	-7	5
16	Schalke 04	8	1	1	6	-11	4
17	Braunschweig	8	1	0	7	-11	3
18	Osnabruck	7	0	2	5	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.