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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Bacher
Magdeburg
T S S T U
2–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
31%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
56%
Both score Ø 66%
75%
56%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,1
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
9 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 12. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 16 8 8 0 +16 32
2 Holstein Kiel 16 10 2 4 +7 32
3 Greuther Furth 17 8 5 4 +7 29
4 Hamburg 16 8 4 4 +9 28
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 16 8 3 5 +15 27
6 Paderborn 17 8 3 6 +0 27
7 Hannover 16 6 6 4 +10 24
8 Hertha 16 7 3 6 +7 24
9 Elversberg 16 7 3 6 -2 24
10 Nurnberg 16 7 3 6 -7 24
11 Wehen 16 6 3 7 -3 21
12 Magdeburg 16 5 5 6 +3 20
13 Schalke 04 17 6 2 9 -4 20
14 Karlsruhe 16 4 6 6 -1 18
15 Kaiserslautern 16 5 3 8 -7 18
16 Hansa Rostock 17 5 2 10 -11 17
17 Braunschweig 16 3 2 11 -16 11
18 Osnabruck 16 1 5 10 -23 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Fortuna Dusseldorf
1–0 H. Bockhorn
A. Condé
16′
2–0 X. Amaechi
L. Castaignos
37′
40′
🟨 Christos Tzolis
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Jastrzembski
↦ T. Uchino
46′
🔁 J. Niemiec
↦ F. Klaus
46′
V. Vermeij 2–1
S. Appelkamp
49′
🟨 Dennis Jastrzembski
Xavier Amaechi 🟨
59′
M. El Hankouri 🔁
↦ X. Amaechi
62′
70′
S. Appelkamp 2–2
T. Oberdorf
75′
V. Vermeij 2–3
C. Tzolis
T. Ito 🔁
↦ L. Bell Bell
76′
A. Nollenberger 🔁
↦ H. Bockhorn
83′
83′
🔁 S. Suso
↦ C. Tzolis
83′
🔁 K. Manu
↦ J. de Wijs
86′
🟨 Yannik Engelhardt
Barış Atik 🟨
89′
94′
🔁 D. Bunk
↦ S. Appelkamp
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Magdeburg

4-3-3
1 D. Reimann G
3 A. Hoti D
6 Daniel Elfadli D
15 D. Heber D
19 L. Bell Bell D
7 H. Bockhorn M
29 A. Condé M
13 C. Krempicki M
20 X. Amaechi F
9 L. Castaignos F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
11 M. El Hankouri
37 T. Ito
17 A. Nollenberger
5 J. Lawrence
10 J. Çeka
34 T. Chahed
30 N. Kruth
16 J. Fabisch
8 A. Arslan

Coach: C. Titz

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-5-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
2 T. Uchino D
20 J. Siebert D
30 J. de Wijs D
15 T. Oberdorf D
11 F. Klaus M
23 S. Appelkamp M
4 A. Tanaka M
6 Y. Engelhardt M
7 C. Tzolis M
9 V. Vermeij F
Bench (8)
27 D. Jastrzembski
18 J. Niemiec
46 S. Suso
43 K. Manu
35 D. Bunk
42 S. Fünger
1 K. Niemczycki
10 D. Ginczek

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,42
U
3,75
B ✓
2,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,43
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bacher · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.