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Premier League
Referee: M Oliver
Leicester
T S T U T
2–2
Full-time
West Ham
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Premier League · 21/24 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
67%
58%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
63%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 4
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leicester 13. · West Ham 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 25 20 3 2 +47 63
2 Liverpool 24 16 6 2 +42 54
3 Chelsea 24 13 8 3 +30 47
4 West Ham 24 12 4 8 +11 40
5 Man United 24 11 7 6 +6 40
6 Arsenal 22 12 3 7 +9 39
7 Wolves 23 11 4 8 +4 37
8 Tottenham 22 11 3 8 -1 36
9 Brighton 23 7 12 4 +2 33
10 Southampton 24 6 11 7 -7 29
11 Aston Villa 23 8 3 12 -5 27
12 Crystal Palace 24 5 11 8 -3 26
13 Leicester 21 7 5 9 -5 26
14 Brentford 25 6 6 13 -14 24
15 Leeds 23 5 8 10 -19 23
16 Everton 22 6 4 12 -10 22
17 Newcastle 23 4 9 10 -19 21
18 Norwich 24 4 5 15 -36 17
19 Watford 23 4 3 16 -20 15
20 Burnley 21 1 11 9 -12 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leicester West Ham
10′
⚽ J. Bowen 0–1
I. Diop
Ricardo Pereira 🟨
18′
L. Thomas 🔁
↦ J. Justin
31′
1–1 Y. Tielemans ⚽
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Ricardo Pereira ⚽
H. Barnes
57′
60′
🟨 Aaron Cresswell
61′
🟨 Declan Rice
67′
🔁 R. Fredericks
↦ V. Coufal
A. Lookman 🔁
↦ J. Maddison
73′
79′
🔁 S. Benrahma
↦ M. Lanzini
79′
🔁 N. Vlašić
↦ Pablo Fornals
J. Vestergaard 🔁
↦ Y. Tielemans
89′
91′
⚽ C. Dawson 2–2
J. Bowen
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Leicester

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
21 Ricardo Pereira D
18 D. Amartey D
4 Ç. Söyüncü D
2 J. Justin D
8 Y. Tielemans M
25 W. Ndidi M
10 J. Maddison F
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
7 H. Barnes F
29 P. Daka F
Bench (9)
33 L. Thomas
37 A. Lookman
23 J. Vestergaard
24 N. Mendy
17 Ayoze Pérez
12 D. Ward
14 K. Ịheanachọ
20 H. Choudhury
11 M. Albrighton

Coach: B. Rodgers

West Ham

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
3 A. Cresswell D
15 C. Dawson D
5 V. Coufal D
23 I. Diop D
10 M. Lanzini M
28 T. Souček M
41 D. Rice M
8 Pablo Fornals M
9 M. Antonio F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (9)
24 R. Fredericks
22 S. Benrahma
11 N. Vlašić
13 A. Areola
31 B. Johnson
33 A. Král
7 A. Yarmolenko
16 M. Noble
35 D. Randolph

Coach: D. Moyes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,88
U ✓
3,58
B
2,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,23
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.