Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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West Ham
Leeds
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | +41 | 56 |
| 2 |
Chelsea
|
22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | +28 | 43 |
| 3 |
Liverpool
|
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | +34 | 42 |
| 4 |
West Ham
|
21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 |
Arsenal
|
20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | +8 | 35 |
| 6 |
Tottenham
|
18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +3 | 33 |
| 7 |
Man United
|
20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 |
Wolves
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +2 | 31 |
| 9 |
Brighton
|
20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | +0 | 28 |
| 10 |
Leicester
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 |
Crystal Palace
|
21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |
Southampton
|
21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -8 | 24 |
| 13 |
Aston Villa
|
20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 |
Brentford
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -6 | 23 |
| 15 |
Everton
|
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -10 | 19 |
| 16 |
Leeds
|
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -16 | 19 |
| 17 |
Watford
|
19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -14 | 14 |
| 18 |
Norwich
|
21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -35 | 13 |
| 19 |
Newcastle
|
20 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -23 | 12 |
| 20 |
Burnley
|
17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -11 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
V. Coufal
D
I. Diop
D
M. Antonio
F
N. Vlašić
M
D. Rice
M
Pablo Fornals
M
J. Bowen
M
Coach: D. Moyes
I. Meslier
G
L. Ayling
D
R. Koch
M
Junior Firpo
D
P. Struijk
D
M. Klich
M
A. Forshaw
M
D. James
F
Raphinha
M
Coach: M. Bielsa
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
West Ham
Norwich
Crystal Palace
West Ham
Watford
West Ham
West Ham
Southampton
Arsenal
West Ham
M Dean · 52 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.