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Premier League
Referee: M Dean
West Ham
T T S S S
2–3
Full-time
Leeds
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,3
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
This season — Premier League · 21/19 matches
Win Ø 37%
52%
21%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
62%
58%
Both score Ø 68%
67%
68%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,9
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Ham 4. · Leeds 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 22 18 2 2 +41 56
2 Chelsea 22 12 7 3 +28 43
3 Liverpool 20 12 6 2 +34 42
4 West Ham 21 11 4 6 +12 37
5 Arsenal 20 11 2 7 +8 35
6 Tottenham 18 10 3 5 +3 33
7 Man United 20 9 5 6 +3 32
8 Wolves 20 9 4 7 +2 31
9 Brighton 20 6 10 4 +0 28
10 Leicester 18 7 4 7 -2 25
11 Crystal Palace 21 5 9 7 -1 24
12 Southampton 21 5 9 7 -8 24
13 Aston Villa 20 7 2 11 -5 23
14 Brentford 20 6 5 9 -6 23
15 Everton 19 5 4 10 -10 19
16 Leeds 19 4 7 8 -16 19
17 Watford 19 4 2 13 -14 14
18 Norwich 21 3 4 14 -35 13
19 Newcastle 20 1 9 10 -23 12
20 Burnley 17 1 8 8 -11 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Ham Leeds
10′
J. Harrison 0–1
A. Forshaw
22′
🔁 L. Bate
↦ A. Forshaw
23′
🔁 L. Hjelde
↦ Junior Firpo
Michail Antonio 🟨
24′
1–1 J. Bowen
A. Cresswell
33′
37′
J. Harrison 1–2
L. Ayling
45′
🟨 Robin Koch
Half-time 2–2
2–2 Pablo Fornals
M. Antonio
52′
60′
J. Harrison 2–3
Raphinha
A. Masuaku 🔁
↦ N. Vlašić
61′
Manuel Lanzini 🟨
62′
65′
🔁 Rodrigo
↦ L. Bate
A. Yarmolenko 🔁
↦ Pablo Fornals
69′
75′
ℹ️ Mateusz Klich
VAR: Goal cancelled
Andriy Yarmolenko 🟨
77′
S. Perkins 🔁
↦ I. Diop
87′
88′
🟨 Daniel James
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

West Ham

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
3 A. Cresswell D
15 C. Dawson D
5 V. Coufal D
23 I. Diop D
9 M. Antonio F
10 M. Lanzini M
11 N. Vlašić M
41 D. Rice M
8 Pablo Fornals M
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (9)
26 A. Masuaku
7 A. Yarmolenko
64 S. Perkins
33 A. Král
40 A. Okoflex
13 A. Areola
31 B. Johnson
42 A. Alese
24 R. Fredericks

Coach: D. Moyes

Leeds

4-1-4-1
1 I. Meslier G
2 L. Ayling D
15 S. Dallas D
5 R. Koch M
3 Junior Firpo D
21 P. Struijk D
43 M. Klich M
4 A. Forshaw M
22 J. Harrison M
20 D. James F
10 Raphinha M
Bench (9)
26 L. Bate
33 L. Hjelde
19 Rodrigo
47 J. Jenkins
13 K. Klaesson
52 K. Moore
54 N. Kenneh
39 S. McKinstry
63 A. Gray

Coach: M. Bielsa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,65
U
4,21
B ✓
4,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,31
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Dean · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.