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LaLiga2
Referee: Marta Huerta de Aza
Santander
S S T U T
3–0
Full-time
Malaga
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,7
1,8
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
57%
29%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
100%
29%
Both score Ø 72%
100%
43%
Average goals
4,6
1,9
Scored
2,6
0,9
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Santander 4. · Malaga 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 La Coruna 8 4 4 0 +11 16
2 Cadiz 7 4 3 0 +4 15
3 Andorra 8 4 2 2 +3 14
4 Santander 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Huesca 8 4 1 3 -2 13
6 Burgos 8 3 3 2 +4 +3.1 12
7 Almeria 8 3 3 2 +0 12
8 Eibar 8 3 2 3 +3 11
9 Valladolid 7 3 2 2 +3 +2.3 11
10 Las Palmas 7 3 2 2 +2 11
11 Castellon 8 3 2 3 +1 11
12 Ceuta 8 3 2 3 -4 -2.3 11
13 Leganes 8 2 4 2 +1 10
14 Sp Gijon 8 3 0 5 -3 9
15 Cordoba 8 2 3 3 -3 9
16 Malaga 7 2 2 3 -1 8
17 Albacete 7 2 2 3 -2 8
18 Granada 8 2 2 4 -4 8
19 Mirandes 7 2 1 4 -3 7
20 Cultural Leonesa 7 2 1 4 -5 -3.1 7
21 Zaragoza 8 1 3 4 -4 6
22 Sociedad B 8 1 3 4 -5 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santander Malaga
45′
ℹ️ Francisco Montero
VAR: Card upgrade
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟥 Francisco Montero
Marco Sangalli 🟨
47′
C. Michelin 🔁
↦ A. Mantilla
56′
Aritz Aldasoro 🟨
57′
60′
🔁 D. Sanchez
↦ J. Lobete
1–0 A. Villalibre
M. Sangalli
61′
G. Puerta 🔁
↦ A. Aldasoro
67′
Jeremy Arevalo 🔁
↦ A. Villalibre
67′
2–0 Jeremy Arevalo
J. Salinas
74′
75′
🔁 E. Jauregi
↦ V. Garcia
75′
🔁 A. Ochoa
↦ Chupe
82′
🔁 D. Brasanac
↦ R. Rodriguez
82′
🔁 Rafita
↦ J. Gabilondo
3–0 A. Martin
I. Vicente
85′
I. Sainz-Maza 🔁
↦ I. Vicente
86′
S. Camara 🔁
↦ A. Martin
86′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 J. Ezkieta G
2 A. Mantilla D
21 P. Ramon D
16 F. Gonzalez D
32 J. Salinas D
14 M. Gueye M
8 A. Aldasoro M
11 A. Martin M
10 I. Vicente M
15 M. Sangalli M
12 A. Villalibre F
Bench (11)
13 P. Andreev
3 M. Garcia
4 Manu
5 J. Castro
6 I. Sainz-Maza
7 Y. Cabanzon
17 C. Michelin
19 G. Puerta
20 S. Camara
29 Jeremy Arevalo
36 M. Sergio

Coach: José Alberto López Menéndez

Malaga

4-4-2
1 A. Herrero G
2 J. Gabilondo D
16 D. Murillo D
20 J. Montero D
14 V. Garcia D
10 D. Larrubia M
8 Juanpe M
22 D. Lorenzo M
24 J. Lobete M
9 Chupe F
37 R. Rodriguez F
Bench (10)
13 C. Lopez
5 D. Brasanac
7 H. Abaida
12 C. Dotor
17 E. Jauregi
18 D. Sanchez
25 J. Dorrio
31 Rafita
35 A. Ochoa
36 A. Recio

Coach: Sergio Pellicer García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
3,51
B
3,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marta Huerta de Aza · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.