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Premier League

Referee: Anthony Taylor

West Ham

T U S S U

2–0

Full-time

Man United

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Man United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — Premier League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

1,4

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

8 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match West Ham 11. · Man United 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Man City	6	4	1	1	+18	13
3	Leicester	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Bournemouth	6	3	1	2	+1	10
5	Tottenham	6	2	2	2	+4	8
6	Man United	5	2	2	1	+4	8
7	Burnley	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	Sheffield United	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Chelsea	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Arsenal	5	2	2	1	+0	8
11	West Ham	5	2	2	1	-1	8
12	Southampton	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Crystal Palace	5	2	1	2	-3	7
14	Everton	6	2	1	3	-4	7
15	Brighton	6	1	3	2	-3	6
16	Norwich	6	2	0	4	-5	6
17	Newcastle	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	-2	4
19	Wolves	5	0	3	2	-4	3
20	Watford	6	0	2	4	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Man City	3	2	1	0	+12	7
3	Leicester	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Tottenham	3	2	0	1	+5	6
5	Man United	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Norwich	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Burnley	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Everton	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Arsenal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Aston Villa	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Crystal Palace	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Bournemouth	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Sheffield United	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	West Ham	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Chelsea	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Newcastle	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Brighton	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Wolves	3	0	2	1	-3	2
19	Southampton	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Watford	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	3	2	0	1	+6	6
2	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Bournemouth	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Chelsea	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Southampton	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Sheffield United	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	West Ham	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Leicester	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Arsenal	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Brighton	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Newcastle	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Crystal Palace	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Man United	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Tottenham	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Burnley	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Wolves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Everton	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Watford	3	0	1	2	-9	1
19	Aston Villa	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Norwich	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.