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Ligue 1

Referee: P Gaillouste

Troyes

T U T S T

0–0

Full-time

Metz

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 21%

23%

18%

Points per game

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

41%

55%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

9 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 16. · Metz 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	22	16	5	1	+28	53
2	Nice	22	13	4	5	+18	43
3	Marseille	23	12	7	4	+16	43
4	Monaco	23	10	6	7	+11	36
5	Strasbourg	22	10	5	7	+15	35
6	Lyon	23	9	8	6	+1	35
7	Rennes	22	10	4	8	+20	34
8	Montpellier	23	10	4	9	+5	34
9	Lens	23	9	6	8	+3	33
10	Nantes	22	9	5	8	+3	32
11	Lille	22	8	8	6	+0	32
12	Angers	23	7	8	8	-4	29
13	Brest	22	7	7	8	-5	28
14	Reims	22	5	9	8	-5	24
15	Clermont	22	5	6	11	-17	21
16	Troyes	22	5	5	12	-11	20
17	Lorient	23	4	8	11	-18	20
18	Bordeaux	22	4	8	10	-19	20
19	Metz	22	4	7	11	-19	19
20	St Etienne	23	4	6	13	-22	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	10	1	0	+21	31
2	Monaco	12	7	3	2	+14	24
3	Montpellier	12	7	2	3	+9	23
4	Lyon	12	6	5	1	+8	23
5	Rennes	11	7	1	3	+17	22
6	Strasbourg	11	6	2	3	+13	20
7	Marseille	12	5	5	2	+9	20
8	Nantes	11	6	2	3	+6	20
9	Lens	11	5	4	2	+8	19
10	Lille	10	5	4	1	+3	19
11	Nice	11	5	3	3	+3	18
12	Lorient	11	4	4	3	+1	16
13	Angers	11	5	1	5	+0	16
14	Brest	11	4	3	4	-1	15
15	Clermont	11	3	4	4	-2	13
16	Reims	10	3	3	4	+0	12
17	Troyes	11	2	4	5	-2	10
18	Bordeaux	12	2	4	6	-5	10
19	St Etienne	12	2	4	6	-10	10
20	Metz	11	1	4	6	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	11	8	1	2	+15	25
2	Marseille	11	7	2	2	+7	23
3	Paris SG	11	6	4	1	+7	22
4	Strasbourg	11	4	3	4	+2	15
5	Lens	12	4	2	6	-5	14
6	Lille	12	3	4	5	-3	13
7	Angers	12	2	7	3	-4	13
8	Brest	11	3	4	4	-4	13
9	Rennes	11	3	3	5	+3	12
10	Nantes	11	3	3	5	-3	12
11	Monaco	11	3	3	5	-3	12
12	Reims	12	2	6	4	-5	12
13	Lyon	11	3	3	5	-7	12
14	Metz	11	3	3	5	-10	12
15	Montpellier	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	Troyes	11	3	1	7	-9	10
17	Bordeaux	10	2	4	4	-14	10
18	St Etienne	11	2	2	7	-12	8
19	Clermont	11	2	2	7	-15	8
20	Lorient	12	0	4	8	-19	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.