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KNVB Beker
Referee: L Timmer
Noordwijk
T S T S S
2–1
Full-time
Dordrecht
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Noordwijk Dordrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 30%
20%
40%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sparta Nijkerk 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Noordwijk 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Rijnvogels 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Capelle 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Ijsselmeervogels 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Blauw Geel 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Winterswijk 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Hercules 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 ASWH 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 OJC Rosmalen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Quick '20 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Dovo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 SC Genemuiden 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Kolping Boys 2 1 1 0 +1 4
16 FC Lisse 2 1 1 0 +1 4
17 Barendrecht 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +3 3
19 AFC Amsterdam 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Gemert 2 1 0 1 +2 3
21 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Juliana '31 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Nijmegen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 ADO '20 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 RKAVV 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Excelsior Maassluis 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 HV & CV Quick 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Poortugaal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Vvsb 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Ajax Amateurs 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Achilles Veen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
34 Hoek 2 1 0 1 -1 3
35 TEC 2 1 0 1 -2 3
36 HBC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Smitshoek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Elinkwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 EVV 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Olde Veste '54 2 0 1 1 -1 1
41 Zwaluw VFC 2 0 1 1 -3 1
42 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 SDC Putten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 DEM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Kloetinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 HHC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Meerssen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 URK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 GOES 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 De Bilt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Geldrop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 SVBO 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 DAW Schaijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Forum Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 FC 's-Gravenzande 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 ACV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 UNA 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Heerjansdam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 GVVV Veenendaal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
72 Excelsior '31 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 ROHDA Raalte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
74 Laar 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Noordwijk Dordrecht
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Hilton
↦ L. Codutti
50′
🟨 L. Seydoux
G. da Fonseca 🟨
53′
A. Roep 🟨
63′
V. Tjin-Asjoe 🔁
↦ M. Bakour
71′
M. El Kharbachi 🔁
↦ A. Roep
71′
N. van Staveren 🔁
↦ R. Marbus
75′
75′
🔁 J. Schuurman
↦ D. Zandbergen
75′
🔁 Igor
↦ K. Osundina
76′
J. Schuurman 0–1
J. van der Sluijs
Neto 🟨
77′
R. Reemnet 🔁
↦ B. Franken
82′
D. Bakker 🔁
↦ G. da Fonseca
83′
1–1 N. van Staveren
D. Bakker
86′
87′
🔁 J. van der Avert
↦ R. Shein
2–1 V. Tjin-Asjoe
E. Wendt
88′
V. Tjin-Asjoe 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Noordwijk

1 B. Schol
20 Neto
40 D. Rietveld
6 B. Nhoca
26 S. Bosma
8 B. Franken
15 G. da Fonseca
31 E. Wendt
14 M. Bakour
18 R. Marbus
25 A. Roep
Bench (10)
11 V. Tjin-Asjoe
16 M. El Kharbachi
9 N. van Staveren
10 R. Reemnet
19 D. Bakker
4 M. Vink
3 D. Reinders
22 T. Zethof
46 R. Antonioli
7 T. van Duin

Coach: F. Wolf

Dordrecht

63 Celton Biai
16 L. Seydoux
3 S. Valk
15 Y. M'Bemba
2 L. Codutti
21 R. Shein
20 J. van der Sluijs
6 D. van Vianen
7 K. Osundina
19 D. Zandbergen
28 J. Slory
Bench (12)
5 J. Hilton
10 J. Schuurman
24 Igor
4 J. van der Avert
14 C. Olde Keizer
31 V. Razumejevs
12 K. Tabiri
17 R. Akmum
27 J. Ezeb
8 G. Parlanti
22 J. Amuzu
13 T. Baltussen

Coach: M. Boel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.