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KNVB Beker

Referee: R Hensgens

Nijmegen

T U T S T

4–3

Full-time

Zwolle

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

23 Shots 16

10 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 9

2 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Noordwijk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Rijnvogels	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Capelle	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Blauw Geel	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Winterswijk	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Hercules	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	ASWH	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	OJC Rosmalen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	Dovo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	SC Genemuiden	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Kolping Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
19	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	ADO '20	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	RKAVV	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Vvsb	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Ajax Amateurs	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Achilles Veen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Hoek	2	1	0	1	-1	3
34	TEC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
35	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
40	Zwaluw VFC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
41	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	ASWH	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	TEC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	ADO '20	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Winterswijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Achilles Veen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Ajax Amateurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	RKAVV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Blauw Geel	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Kolping Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
9	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Winterswijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	RKAVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Vvsb	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Ajax Amateurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
24	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Achilles Veen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	TEC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.