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Serie B
Referee: M Monaldi
Reggiana
U U T S T
0–1
Full-time
Cosenza
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggiana Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
1,7
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
30%
20%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
30%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
30%
50%
Average goals
1,9
1,8
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reggiana 12. · Cosenza 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 10 6 3 1 +11 21
2 Pisa 10 6 3 1 +6 21
3 Spezia 10 5 5 0 +7 20
4 Cremonese 10 5 2 3 +4 17
5 Palermo 10 4 3 3 +3 15
6 Juve Stabia 10 4 3 3 +0 15
7 Sampdoria 10 4 2 4 +2 14
8 Cesena 10 4 2 4 +1 14
9 Brescia 10 4 1 5 -2 13
10 Bari 10 2 6 2 +2 12
11 Catanzaro 10 2 6 2 +2 12
12 Reggiana 10 3 3 4 -1 12
13 Mantova 10 3 3 4 -3 12
14 Sudtirol 10 4 0 6 -4 12
15 Carrarese 10 3 2 5 -2 11
16 Cosenza 10 2 5 3 -2 11
17 Salernitana 10 3 2 5 -3 11
18 Modena 10 2 4 4 -2 10
19 Cittadella 10 2 3 5 -9 9
20 Frosinone 10 1 4 5 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reggiana Cosenza
Alessandro Fontanarosa 🟨
9′
12′
🟨 Christian Kouan
31′
🟨 Aldo Florenzi
39′
M. Ricciardi 0–1
L. Strizzolo
43′
🟨 Alessandro Caporale
Half-time 0–1
S. Pettinari 🔁
↦ L. Vido
46′
46′
🔁 C. Kourfalidis
↦ C. Kouan
54′
🟨 Luca Strizzolo
55′
🔁 M. Venturi
↦ A. Caporale
56′
🔁 M. Zilli
↦ L. Strizzolo
Andrea Meroni 🟨
59′
Manuel Marras 🟨
63′
65′
🟨 Manuel Ricciardi
65′
🔁 B. Cimino
↦ M. Ricciardi
N. Girma 🔁
↦ M. Marras
68′
M. Maggio 🔁
↦ A. Fontanarosa
77′
Alessandro Sersanti 🟨
79′
L. Cigarini 🔁
↦ T. Reinhart
82′
R. Fiamozzi 🔁
↦ L. Libutti
82′
88′
🔁 S. Mazzocchi
↦ A. Florenzi
92′
🟨 Christos Kourfalidis
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Reggiana

4-3-2-1
22 F. Bardi G
17 L. Libutti D
13 A. Meroni D
44 L. Lucchesi D
24 A. Fontanarosa D
7 M. Marras M
16 T. Reinhart M
5 A. Sersanti M
30 A. Vergara M
90 M. Portanova M
10 L. Vido F
Bench (12)
23 S. Pettinari
80 N. Girma
27 M. Maggio
8 L. Cigarini
15 R. Fiamozzi
1 E. Motta
25 L. Ignacchiti
6 L. Štulac
31 M. Sampirisi
77 E. Kabashi
87 Y. Nahounou
29 O. Urso

Coach: W. Viali

Cosenza

3-4-2-1
1 A. Micai G
4 P. Martino D
15 C. Dalle Mura D
17 A. Caporale D
34 A. Florenzi M
28 C. Kouan M
6 Charlys M
31 G. Ricci M
16 M. Ricciardi F
20 A. Rizzo Pinna F
32 L. Strizzolo F
Bench (12)
39 C. Kourfalidis
23 M. Venturi
21 M. Zilli
2 B. Cimino
30 S. Mazzocchi
10 T. Fumagalli
9 M. Sankoh
19 R. Ciervo
90 G. Begheldo
12 G. Baldi
22 T. Vettorel
11 T. D'Orazio

Coach: M. Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,29
U
2,91
B ✓
3,54
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,52
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Monaldi · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.