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Copa del Rey
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Villamuriel
S
0–5
Full-time
Vallecano
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villamuriel Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Vic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 UD San Pedro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Astur 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Villamuriel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 San Tirso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Ontiñena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Gévora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
20 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villamuriel Vallecano
43′
⚽ Raúl de Tomás 0–1
45′
⚽ Ó. Trejo 0–2
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 Sergi Guardiola
↦ Gerard Gumbau
46′
🔁 Marco de las Sías
↦ Adri Embarba
48′
⚽ Raúl de Tomás 0–3
P. Ciss
L. Perez 🟨
56′
Mateo Gutiérrez 🔁
↦ Guille
58′
Chemby 🔁
↦ Sergio Mata
58′
63′
🔁 Joni Montiel
↦ I. Balliu
63′
🔁 Diego Méndez
↦ Aridane Hernández
Álvaro Soto 🔁
↦ Jaime Gómez
65′
68′
⚽ Sergi Guardiola 0–4
Joni Montiel
Álvaro Calvo 🔁
↦ Mario Merino
72′
Edu 🔁
↦ Jesús Ramírez
73′
A. Diez 🟨
74′
75′
🔁 E. Eto'o
↦ Pelayo Fernández
88′
⚽ E. Eto'o 0–5
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Villamuriel

13 Mario Merino
2 Adrián Pérez
4 Juan Castrillo
5 Jesús Ramírez
14 Jambo
6 Pupy
8 Guille
22 Sergio Mata
18 Jaime Gómez
17 Luismi Pérez
19 Álex Díez
Bench (11)
16 Mateo Gutiérrez
7 Chemby
11 Álvaro Soto
1 Álvaro Calvo
21 Edu
15 Nachin
9 Ciru
3 Isma
24 Asier Holgado
20 Alvi
10 Aitor Martínez

Coach: Tuco

Vallecano

1 Dani Cárdenas
5 Aridane Hernández
20 I. Balliu
27 Pelayo Fernández
8 Ó. Trejo
15 Gerard Gumbau
4 Pedro Díaz
6 P. Ciss
11 Randy Nteka
9 Raúl de Tomás
21 Adri Embarba
Bench (11)
12 Sergi Guardiola
26 Marco de las Sías
25 Joni Montiel
29 Diego Méndez
28 E. Eto'o
18 Álvaro García
23 Óscar Valentín
13 A. Batalla
17 Unai López
7 Isi Palazón
14 Sergio Camello

Coach: Iñigo Pérez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.