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DFB-Pokal
Referee: T Bauer
Regensburg
T U T T T
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Regensburg Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
4,2
3,3
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
3,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-3,2
-1,0
This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%
9 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 9
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Regensburg 25. · Greuther Furth 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Karlsruhe 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Augsburg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 RB Leipzig 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Elversberg 2 1 0 1 +4 3
8 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Werder Bremen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Darmstadt 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Dresden 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Regensburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 St Pauli 2 1 0 1 -1 3
29 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 -1 3
30 Kickers Offenbach 2 1 0 1 -1 3
31 Wurzburger Kickers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Hoffenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Sandhausen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Alemannia Aachen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Magdeburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Greifswalder FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 TuS Koblenz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 VfR Aalen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -3 0
53 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 Viktoria Berlin 1 0 0 1 -3 0
55 Phönix Lübeck 1 0 0 1 -3 0
56 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
57 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -4 0
58 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
59 Bremer Sv 1 0 0 1 -4 0
60 FC 08 Villingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
61 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -5 0
62 Sportfreunde Lotte 1 0 0 1 -5 0
63 SV Meppen 1 0 0 1 -6 0
64 Borussia Hildesheim 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Regensburg Greuther Furth
Sebastian Ernst 🟨
10′
13′
🟨 Damian Michalski
Bryan Hein 🟨
25′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 R. Bulić
59′
Rasim Bulić 🟥
63′
65′
🔁 M. Mustapha
↦ N. Gießelmann
Kai Pröger 🟨
69′
R. Ziegele 🔁
↦ S. Ernst
69′
70′
🟨 Roberto Massimo
73′
🔁 Nemanja Motika
↦ R. Massimo
N. Ganaus 🔁
↦ E. Hottmann
75′
80′
🟨 Marco Meyerhofer
80′
🔁 M. Wagner
↦ M. Meyerhöfer
A. Bittroff 🔁
↦ C. Kühlwetter
93′
Felix Gebhardt 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Regensburg

3-1-4-2
1 F. Gebhardt G
37 L. Wurm D
5 R. Bulić D
16 L. Breunig D
8 A. Geipl M
33 K. Pröger M
10 C. Viet M
15 S. Ernst M
3 B. Hein M
30 C. Kühlwetter F
9 E. Hottmann F
Bench (9)
14 R. Ziegele
20 N. Ganaus
13 A. Bittroff
11 N. Ochojski
25 J. Bauer
39 D. Galjen
32 A. Weidinger
29 E. Huth
27 D. Kother

Coach: A. Patz

Greuther Furth

4-4-2
44 N. Noll G
18 M. Meyerhöfer D
4 D. Michalski D
27 G. Itter D
17 N. Gießelmann D
2 S. Asta M
6 S. Bansé M
37 J. Green M
11 R. Massimo M
10 B. Hrgota F
7 D. Srbeny F
Bench (9)
8 M. Mustapha
22 Nemanja Motika
19 M. Wagner
3 O. Mhamdi
5 R. Münz
1 N. Körber
34 D. Pfaffenrot
36 P. Müller
20 L. Popp

Coach: L. Haas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bauer · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.