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Serie B
Referee: M Marcenaro
Modena
S T U U T
2–2
Full-time
Cremonese
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
70%
50%
Both score Ø 70%
70%
70%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

37% Possession 63%
19 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Modena 18. · Cremonese 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 10 6 3 1 +11 21
2 Pisa 10 6 3 1 +6 21
3 Spezia 10 5 5 0 +7 20
4 Cremonese 10 5 2 3 +4 17
5 Palermo 10 4 3 3 +3 15
6 Juve Stabia 10 4 3 3 +0 15
7 Sampdoria 10 4 2 4 +2 14
8 Cesena 10 4 2 4 +1 14
9 Brescia 10 4 1 5 -2 13
10 Bari 10 2 6 2 +2 12
11 Catanzaro 10 2 6 2 +2 12
12 Reggiana 10 3 3 4 -1 12
13 Mantova 10 3 3 4 -3 12
14 Sudtirol 10 4 0 6 -4 12
15 Carrarese 10 3 2 5 -2 11
16 Cosenza 10 2 5 3 -2 11
17 Salernitana 10 3 2 5 -3 11
18 Modena 10 2 4 4 -2 10
19 Cittadella 10 2 3 5 -9 9
20 Frosinone 10 1 4 5 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Modena Cremonese
12′
F. Bonazzoli 0–1
L. Zanimacchia
Luca Magnino 🟨
23′
1–1 G. Caso
30′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 A. Dellavalle
A. Palumbo
46′
46′
🔁 F. Vázquez
↦ C. Pickel
Simone Santoro 🟨
47′
59′
🔁 G. Quagliata
↦ L. Sernicola
59′
🔁 J. Vandeputte
↦ L. Zanimacchia
64′
F. Vázquez 2–2
F. Abiuso 🔁
↦ G. Caso
65′
T. Battistella 🔁
↦ L. Magnino
65′
69′
🔁 M. De Luca
↦ F. Bonazzoli
M. Cotali 🔁
↦ R. Idrissi
70′
76′
🟨 Franco Vázquez
78′
🟨 Manuel De Luca
K. Bozhanaj 🔁
↦ G. Defrel
78′
A. Di Pardo 🔁
↦ A. Dellavalle
78′
87′
🔁 C. Buonaiuto
↦ D. Johnsen
88′
🟨 Giacomo Quagliata
90′
🟨 Michele Castagnetti
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Modena

4-3-1-2
26 R. Gagno G
25 A. Dellavalle D
19 G. Zaro D
23 M. Caldara D
27 R. Idrissi D
6 L. Magnino M
16 F. Gerli M
8 S. Santoro M
10 A. Palumbo M
92 G. Defrel F
20 G. Caso F
Bench (12)
90 F. Abiuso
5 T. Battistella
29 M. Cotali
21 K. Bozhanaj
18 A. Di Pardo
7 E. Duca
2 G. Beyuku
78 F. Bagheria
33 C. Cauz
1 J. Sassi
24 M. Oliva
31 Eric Botteghin

Coach: P. Bisoli

Cremonese

4-3-3
1 A. Fulignati G
4 T. Barbieri D
5 L. Ravanelli D
15 M. Bianchetti D
17 L. Sernicola D
18 M. Collocolo M
6 C. Pickel M
19 M. Castagnetti M
98 L. Zanimacchia F
90 F. Bonazzoli F
11 D. Johnsen F
Bench (12)
20 F. Vázquez
3 G. Quagliata
27 J. Vandeputte
9 M. De Luca
10 C. Buonaiuto
26 V. Antov
42 L. Moretti
37 Ž. Majer
62 T. Milanese
99 M. Nasti
44 L. Lochoshvili
21 G. Saro

Coach: E. Corini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,73
U ✓
3,00
B
2,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,26
U2,5
1,62
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Marcenaro · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.