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Copa del Rey
Referee: Saúl Ais
Real Jaén
T
0–3
Full-time
Cadiz
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Jaén Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
7 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 9
0 Offside 5
6 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Vic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 UD San Pedro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Astur 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
11 San Tirso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Ontiñena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Gévora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
25 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Jaén Cadiz
2′
⚽ Rubén Sobrino 0–1
Joseba Zaldúa
32′
🟨 F. San Emeterio
35′
🟨 J. Cabrera
P. Adri 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
W. Awusi 🔁
↦ Adri Paz
46′
Curro Burgos 🔁
↦ Mario Martos
46′
46′
🔁 T. Alarcón
↦ G. Escalante
F. Burgos 🟥
59′
62′
🔁 Javi Ontiveros
↦ Rubén Sobrino
62′
🔁 Chris Ramos
↦ F. Mwepu
Migue García 🔁
↦ Juan Cámara
65′
68′
⚽ Pedro Fernández 1–1
own goal
69′
⚽ Javi Ontiveros 1–2
70′
🔁 Roger
↦ José de la Rosa
70′
🔁 R. Kouamé
↦ Fede San Emeterio
Javi Moyano 🔁
↦ Carlos Fernández
73′
A. Alonso 🔁
↦ Soma
73′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Real Jaén

4-4-2
1 Javi Sánchez G
2 Sergio Fernández D
20 Mauro Cabello D
25 Pedro Fernández D
30 Manu Fernández D
7 Juan Cámara M
16 Juanma Porro M
10 Adri Paz M
11 Mario Martos M
14 Carlos Fernández F
8 Soma F
Bench (11)
5 W. Awusi
23 Curro Burgos
18 Migue García
17 Javi Moyano
19 A. Alonso
22 Óscar Lozano
13 Alejandro Palop
4 Espín
9 Fernando Rodríguez
6 Álvaro Muñiz
3 Sergio Rodríguez

Coach: Roberto Peragón

Cadiz

4-2-3-1
13 José Antonio Caro G
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
3 Fali D
24 Cristian Glauder D
33 Julio Cabrera D
17 G. Escalante M
6 Fede San Emeterio M
11 Iván Alejo M
7 Rubén Sobrino M
19 José de la Rosa M
15 F. Mwepu F
Bench (10)
21 T. Alarcón
22 Javi Ontiveros
16 Chris Ramos
9 Roger
12 R. Kouamé
34 Marco Viciana
18 José Matos
14 B. Kovačević
1 David Gil
4 Rubén Alcaraz

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.