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DFB-Pokal
Referee: D Schlager
Stuttgart
U U T S S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Kaiserslautern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
5,0
3,0
Scored
5,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+5,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

69% Possession 31%
17 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 6. · Kaiserslautern 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Karlsruhe 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Augsburg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 RB Leipzig 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Elversberg 2 1 0 1 +4 3
8 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Werder Bremen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Darmstadt 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Dresden 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Regensburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 St Pauli 2 1 0 1 -1 3
29 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 -1 3
30 Kickers Offenbach 2 1 0 1 -1 3
31 Wurzburger Kickers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Hoffenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Sandhausen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Alemannia Aachen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Magdeburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Greifswalder FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 TuS Koblenz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 VfR Aalen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -3 0
53 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 Viktoria Berlin 1 0 0 1 -3 0
55 Phönix Lübeck 1 0 0 1 -3 0
56 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
57 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -4 0
58 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
59 Bremer Sv 1 0 0 1 -4 0
60 FC 08 Villingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
61 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -5 0
62 Sportfreunde Lotte 1 0 0 1 -5 0
63 SV Meppen 1 0 0 1 -6 0
64 Borussia Hildesheim 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Kaiserslautern
1–0 N. Woltemade
14′
Chris Führich 🟨
35′
43′
B. Tomiak 1–1
Half-time 1–1
D. Undav 🔁
↦ N. Woltemade
59′
A. Stiller 🔁
↦ F. Krätzig
59′
59′
🔁 D. Hanslik
↦ R. Ache
59′
🔁 A. Opoku
↦ K. Redondo
62′
🟨 Marlon Ritter
2–1 C. Führich
75′
E. Millot 🔁
↦ F. Rieder
77′
J. Leweling 🔁
↦ C. Führich
77′
79′
🔁 T. Raschl
↦ M. Ritter
79′
🔁 Leon Robinson
↦ L. Sirch
80′
🟨 Tobias Raschl
85′
🔁 R. Tachie
↦ D. Yokota
86′
🟨 Erik Wekesser
J. Vagnoman 🔁
↦ P. Stenzel
86′
93′
🟨 Daniel Hanslik
Enzo Millot 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

4-4-2
1 F. Bredlow G
15 P. Stenzel D
45 A. Chase D
29 A. Rouault D
3 R. Hendriks D
32 F. Rieder M
16 A. Karazor M
13 F. Krätzig M
27 C. Führich M
9 E. Demirović F
11 N. Woltemade F
Bench (9)
26 D. Undav
6 A. Stiller
8 E. Millot
18 J. Leweling
4 J. Vagnoman
33 A. Nübel
7 M. Mittelstädt
2 A. Al Dakhil
10 E. Touré

Coach: S. Hoeneß

Kaiserslautern

4-2-3-1
1 J. Krahl G
8 J. Zimmer D
33 J. Elvedi D
24 J. Heuer D
13 E. Wekesser D
2 B. Tomiak M
7 M. Ritter M
31 L. Sirch M
41 D. Yokota M
11 K. Redondo M
9 R. Ache F
Bench (9)
19 D. Hanslik
17 A. Opoku
20 T. Raschl
37 Leon Robinson
29 R. Tachie
30 A. Spahić
3 F. Kleinhansl
26 F. Kaloč
23 A. Aremu

Coach: M. Anfang

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.