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Taça de Portugal

União de Leiria

T S S T S

2–2

Full-time

Alverca

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

União de Leiria Alverca

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Caldas	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Vila Meã	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Espinho	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Comércio Indústria	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Vila Real	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Amarante	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	1º Dezembro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Vila Caíz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	AD Marco 09	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Celoricense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Ovarense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
16	Marinhense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
17	Moncarapachense	2	1	1	0	+3	4
18	Gouveia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
19	Anadia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Mortágua	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	Os Marialvas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Peniche	2	1	0	1	+7	3
23	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+6	3
24	Alpendorada	1	1	0	0	+6	3
25	Sacavenense	2	1	0	1	+5	3
26	Atlético Malveira	2	1	0	1	+5	3
27	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+5	3
28	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
29	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
30	São João Ver	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
32	Trofense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
33	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Oliveirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	FC Serpa	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	AD Fornos Algodres	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Naval 1893	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Ançã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Farense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Silves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Rebordosa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Mirandela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	União Lamas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Uniao Nogueirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Correlhã	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	Chaves	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Nazarenos	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	Monção	2	1	0	1	-1	3
62	Machico	2	1	0	1	-1	3
63	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2	1	0	1	-3	3
64	Brito	2	1	0	1	-4	3
65	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
66	Rebordelo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Portimonense B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Charneca Caparica	2	0	1	1	-2	1
73	Oliveira Hospital	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Eléctrico	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Mafra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Paredes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Vidago	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
111	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
112	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
113	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
114	Fátima	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	Almodôvar	1	0	0	1	-4	0
119	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
120	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
121	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
122	Operário	1	0	0	1	-5	0
123	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
124	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
125	Estrela Calheta	1	0	0	1	-6	0
126	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
127	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
128	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
129	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0
130	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
131	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caldas	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Comércio Indústria	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Vila Caíz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Celoricense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Ovarense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
7	Marinhense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
8	Moncarapachense	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Peniche	2	1	0	1	+7	3
10	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+6	3
11	Alpendorada	1	1	0	0	+6	3
12	Sacavenense	2	1	0	1	+5	3
13	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	São João Ver	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Trofense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
18	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Gouveia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	AD Fornos Algodres	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Naval 1893	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Ançã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Silves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	União Lamas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Uniao Nogueirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Correlhã	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Nazarenos	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
41	Rebordelo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Portimonense B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Charneca Caparica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Monção	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Paredes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Machico	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Vidago	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
69	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vila Meã	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	1º Dezembro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Anadia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Os Marialvas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Atlético Malveira	2	1	0	1	+5	3
8	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Oliveirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Farense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Mirandela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Machico	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Monção	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Brito	2	1	0	1	-4	3
32	Gouveia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Oliveira Hospital	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Eléctrico	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	FC Serpa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Mafra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Charneca Caparica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Fátima	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Almodôvar	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Operário	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
74	Estrela Calheta	1	0	0	1	-6	0
75	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
76	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
77	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
78	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.