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Svenska Cupen

Referee: J Östling

Onsala

3–1

Full-time

Orgryte

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Västra Frölunda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Tord	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Brålanda	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Österlen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Husqvarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Ljungskile SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Vasalund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Oskarshamns AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	IFK Östersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Gauthiod	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Onsala	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Torns	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	IFK Österåker	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Hudiksvall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	IFK Luleå	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Enköping	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Hässleholms IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Täby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Sleipner	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
64	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0
65	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
66	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Västra Frölunda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Tord	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Brålanda	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Husqvarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Gauthiod	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Torns	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	IFK Österåker	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	IFK Luleå	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Enköping	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Hässleholms IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
31	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
32	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
33	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Österlen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Ljungskile SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Vasalund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Oskarshamns AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	IFK Östersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Onsala	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Hudiksvall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Täby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Sleipner	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
33	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
34	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

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Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

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U1,5

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O2,5 ✓

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U2,5

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O3,5 ✓

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U3,5

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Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

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BLS nei

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Recent matches

29. Jun CUP 4 years ago

Referee

J Östling · 81 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Odds comparison

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