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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Raczkowski
Rakow
S U S T S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 64%
60%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
60%
83%
Both score Ø 64%
60%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rakow 5. · Pogon Szczecin 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 7 5 1 1 +12 16
2 Legia 7 4 2 1 +3 14
3 Pogon Szczecin 6 4 1 1 +5 13
4 Radomiak Radom 7 3 2 2 +0 11
5 Rakow 5 3 1 1 +4 10
6 Cracovia 7 3 1 3 +2 10
7 Widzew Lodz 7 3 1 3 +1 10
8 Korona Kielce 7 3 1 3 +1 10
9 Stal Mielec 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Warta Poznan 7 3 0 4 -3 9
11 Slask Wroclaw 7 2 3 2 -3 9
12 Gornik Zabrze 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Jagiellonia 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Zaglebie 7 2 2 3 -4 8
15 Piast Gliwice 6 2 0 4 -1 6
16 Lech Poznan 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Legnica 6 1 1 4 -5 4
18 Lechia Gdansk 5 1 0 4 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rakow Pogon Szczecin
Patryk Kun 🟨
17′
Bogdan Racovitan 🟨
32′
35′
🟨 Damian Dąbrowski
45′
🟨 Luka Zahović
Half-time 0–0
M. Wdowiak 🔁
↦ B. Racovițan
46′
55′
🔁 P. Almqvist
↦ L. Zahovič
1–0 M. Wdowiak
B. Nowak
55′
62′
🔁 V. Bichakhchyan
↦ M. Łęgowski
62′
🔁 M. Fornalczyk
↦ Jean Carlos
V. Kochergin 🔁
↦ B. Nowak
70′
F. Piasecki 🔁
↦ V. Gutkovskis
70′
Ivi López 🟨
81′
82′
🔁 Léo Borges
↦ K. Triantafyllopoulos
82′
🔁 M. Wędrychowski
↦ Luís Mata
W. Długosz 🔁
↦ Ivi López
85′
86′
🟨 Mariusz Fornalczyk
Fabian Piasecki 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Léo Borges
90′
🟨 Vahan Bichakhchyan
Giannis Papanikolaou 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-2-1
1 V. Kovačević G
25 B. Racovițan D
24 Z. Arsenić D
3 M. Rundić D
7 F. Tudor M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
55 S. Czyż M
23 P. Kun M
27 B. Nowak F
11 Ivi López F
21 V. Gutkovskis F
Bench (9)
17 M. Wdowiak
30 V. Kochergin
99 F. Piasecki
71 W. Długosz
9 S. Musiolik
4 S. Svarnas
88 V. Gvilia
12 K. Trelowski
5 G. Berggren

Coach: M. Papszun

Pogon Szczecin

4-1-4-1
1 D. Stipica G
2 J. Bartkowski D
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos D
23 B. Zech D
97 Luís Mata D
8 D. Dąbrowski M
21 Jean Carlos M
99 M. Łęgowski M
27 S. Kowalczyk M
11 K. Grosicki M
10 L. Zahovič F
Bench (9)
9 P. Almqvist
22 V. Bichakhchyan
17 M. Fornalczyk
4 Léo Borges
15 M. Wędrychowski
14 K. Drygas
33 M. Malec
41 P. Stolarski
81 B. Klebaniuk

Coach: J. Gustafsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Raczkowski · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.