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Puchar Polski
Referee: S Łężny

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Motor Lublin 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Pogoń Siedlce 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Radunia Stężyca 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Olimpia Elbląg 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Stal Rzeszów 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Wisla 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Kalisz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Zaglebie 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Slask Wroclaw 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Jastrzębie 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Chrobry Głogów 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Wisla Plock 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Cracovia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Ruch Chorzow 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 GKS Katowice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Legia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Lechia Zielona Góra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +0 3
23 Korona Kielce 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Garbarnia Kraków 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Podbeskidzie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Wikielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
35 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
36 Łagów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
37 Znicz Pruszków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
38 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Sokół Ostróda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
42 Chełmianka Chełm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
43 Radomsko 1 0 0 1 -3 0
44 Bałtyk Gdynia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
45 Wigry Suwałki 1 0 0 1 -4 0
46 Start Jełowa 1 0 0 1 -4 0
47 Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie 1 0 0 1 -4 0
48 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Górnik Polkowice Sandecja Nowy Sącz
30′
J. Wróbel 0–1
39′
🟨 I. Nekic
Half-time 0–1
A. Hafez 🔁
↦ M. Idzik
55′
S. Kiebzak 🔁
↦ F. Baranowski
55′
61′
🔁 M. Fall
↦ S. Łusiusz
61′
🔁 M. Gabrych
↦ J. Wróbel
62′
🔁 M. Piter-Bučko
↦ I. Nekić
62′
🔁 T. Nawotka
↦ K. Gach
R. Karmelita 🟨
63′
K. Wacławczyk 🔁
↦ T. Kołbon
69′
M. Sławek 🔁
↦ R. Karmelita
69′
76′
🔁 M. Surzyn
↦ D. Chmiel
M. Gajda 🔁
↦ D. Makuch
79′
1–1 A. Hafez
84′
M. Bojdys 🟨
86′
89′
🟨 K. Slaby
A. Hafez 🟨
96′
97′
🟨 B. Kasprzak
M. Gajda 🟨
104′
106′
G. Merebashvili 1–2
S. Kiebzak 🟨
112′
114′
G. Merebashvili 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Górnik Polkowice

J. Wojtas
K. Fryzowicz
J. Ratajczak
M. Bojdys
D. Makuch
D. Burka
R. Karmelita
T. Kołbon
F. Baranowski
M. Idzik
D. Pisarek
Bench (9)
A. Hafez
S. Kiebzak
K. Wacławczyk
M. Sławek
M. Gajda
B. Dyszy
B. Niezgoda
K. Gościniarek
K. Poczwardowski

Coach: S. Szydelko

Sandecja Nowy Sącz

S. Tokarz
K. Słaby
T. Boczek
I. Nekić
K. Gach
J. Iskra
G. Merebashvili
D. Chmiel
B. Kasprzak
S. Łusiusz
J. Wróbel
Bench (9)
M. Fall
M. Gabrych
M. Piter-Bučko
T. Nawotka
M. Surzyn
D. Pietrzkiewicz
D. Šovšić
M. Mas
Ł. Kosakiewicz

Coach: D. Dudek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.