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Svenska Cupen
Referee: M Lindgren
0–4
Full-time
Varberg
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ljungskile SK Varberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
6,0
3,2
Scored
4,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Onsala 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 GAIS 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Västra Frölunda 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Tord 1 1 0 0 +6 3
5 Tvååker 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Nyköping 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Brålanda 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Österlen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 IF Karlstad 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Stockholm Internazionale 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Husqvarna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Ljungskile SK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Vasalund 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Oskarshamns AIK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Sandviken 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Trollhättan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Stocksund 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 IFK Östersund 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Degerfors 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Trelleborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Lund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Torns 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Örebro Syrianska 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 IFK Österåker 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Hudiksvall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 IFK Luleå 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Hacken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Enköping 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Hässleholms IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Älmhults 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Gauthiod 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Arlanda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Täby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Gute 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Haninge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Eneby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Sleipner 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Ullared 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Olympic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Skiljebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Sollentuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Friska Viljor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Asarum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Umeå FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Eskilsminne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Lidingö 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Motala 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Angered BK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Vänersborgs FK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Järfälla 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Lucksta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Varnamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Orgryte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Lidköping 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
63 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -4 0
64 Nordvärmland 1 0 0 1 -4 0
65 Angelholms FF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
66 Trosa-Vagnhärad SK 1 0 0 1 -5 0
67 Torslanda 1 0 0 1 -6 0
68 Assyriska Turabdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ljungskile SK Varberg
17′
F. Bohman 0–1
23′
D. Kunst 0–2
30′
O. Stanisic 0–3
Half-time 0–3
O. Lindberg 🔁
↦ K. Akamatsu
52′
55′
L. Le Roux 0–4
61′
🔁 Eliton Júnior
↦ D. Krasniqi
61′
🔁 J. Redenfors
↦ A. Johansson
61′
🔁 J. Sundström
↦ Filipe Sissé
61′
🔁 O. Alfonsi
↦ L. Le Roux
D. Bloyou 🔁
↦ A. Kalaja
70′
V. Andersson 🔁
↦ A. Henriksson
70′
72′
🔁 V. Dryselius
↦ F. Andersson
A. Daläng 🔁
↦ A. Malaj
77′
S. Janneh 🔁
↦ U. Charles
77′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Ljungskile SK

O. Bergman
I. Berisha
F. Martinsson
R. Sabo
A. Malaj
J. Odenbeck
K. Akamatsu
U. Charles
A. Kalaja
A. Henriksson
O. Ingham
Bench (7)
O. Lindberg
D. Bloyou
V. Andersson
A. Daläng
S. Janneh
K. Sims
S. Ohlsson

Coach: E. Lund

Varberg

F. Andersson
O. Stanisic
T. Carlsson
J. Birkfeldt
L. Le Roux
A. Boman
Filipe Sissé
D. Kunst
A. Johansson
D. Krasniqi
F. Bohman
Bench (7)
Eliton Júnior
J. Redenfors
J. Sundström
O. Alfonsi
V. Dryselius
A. Liljenbäck
R. Tranberg

Coach: J. Persson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.