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Svenska Cupen
Referee: M Al Hakim
Hammarby
S U T S S
4–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby IK brage
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+2,0
This season — Svenska Cupen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hammarby 33. · IK brage 28.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Helsingborg 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 Malmo FF 2 2 0 0 +11 6
3 Hacken 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Sirius 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Varberg 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Degerfors 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Halmstad 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Kalmar 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Mjallby 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Norrkoping 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 GAIS 3 2 0 1 +2 6
12 Trollhättan 3 2 0 1 +2 6
13 Oskarshamns AIK 3 2 0 1 +0 6
14 IFK Luleå 3 2 0 1 +0 6
15 Onsala 3 2 0 1 -2 6
16 AIK 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 Vasteras SK 2 1 1 0 +2 4
18 Västra Frölunda 2 1 0 1 +5 3
19 Nyköping 2 1 0 1 +4 3
20 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +3 3
21 Sundsvall 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Goteborg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Landskrona 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Djurgarden 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +2 3
26 Dalkurd FF 2 1 0 1 +2 3
27 Brommapojkarna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 IK brage 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Österlen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
30 Vasalund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
31 Trelleborg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 IFK Östersund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Hammarby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Utsikten 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Norrby IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Orebro SK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Tord 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Älmhults 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Lund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Gauthiod 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Skövde AIK 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Ostersunds FK 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Husqvarna 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Ljungskile SK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Jonkopings Sodra 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Torns 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Enköping 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 IFK Österåker 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Brålanda 2 1 0 1 -5 3
56 Arlanda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Gute 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Eneby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Haninge 2 0 1 1 -2 1
60 Täby 2 0 1 1 -2 1
61 Sleipner 2 0 1 1 -2 1
62 Ullared 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Olympic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Skiljebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Sollentuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Friska Viljor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Asarum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Umeå FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Eskilsminne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Oster 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Elfsborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Lidingö 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Motala 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Angered BK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Vänersborgs FK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Järfälla 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Lucksta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Varnamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Orgryte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Lidköping 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Nordvärmland 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Angelholms FF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 Trosa-Vagnhärad SK 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Torslanda 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Assyriska Turabdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby IK brage
T. Tekie 🔁
↦ A. Mikkelsen
16′
1–0 N. Besara
34′
41′
🟨 P. Rodin
Half-time 1–0
E. Kurtulus 🟨
46′
S. Pinas 🟨
50′
59′
🔁 D. Karlberg
↦ K. Appiah Nyarko
64′
🟨 A. Zetterstrom
64′
🟨 S. Izountouemoi
73′
🔁 J. Stensson
↦ S. Izountouemoi
74′
🔁 P. Jonsson
↦ J. Arvidsson
J. Erabi 🔁
↦ V. Đukanović
78′
M. Madjed 🔁
↦ F. Hammar
78′
2–0 N. Besara
85′
A. Demirol 🔁
↦ L. Sadiku
87′
P. Vagić 🔁
↦ N. Besara
88′
88′
🔁 F. Sjöberg
↦ G. Berggren
3–0 J. Erabi
89′
4–0 M. Madjed
91′
93′
F. Sjöberg 4–1
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Hammarby

O. Dovin
M. Fenger
J. Nilsson
S. Pinas
E. Kurtulus
N. Besara
L. Sadiku
F. Hammar
A. Saidi
A. Mikkelsen
V. Đukanović
Bench (7)
T. Tekie
J. Erabi
M. Madjed
A. Demirol
P. Vagić
D. Blažević
N. Adjei

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

IK brage

V. Frodig
A. Zetterström
Jonathan Tamimi
M. Persson
P. Rödin
S. Izountouemoi
E. Tot Wikström
H. Sletsjøe
G. Berggren
J. Arvidsson
K. Appiah Nyarko
Bench (7)
D. Karlberg
J. Stensson
P. Jonsson
F. Sjöberg
André Bernardini
C. Redenstrand
E. Asante Gayi

Coach: K. Saarenpää

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.