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Allsvenskan
Hammarby
S U T S U
4–2
Full-time
Mjallby
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Mjallby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Allsvenskan · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 35%
35%
35%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
65%
57%
Both score Ø 63%
61%
65%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hammarby 7. · Mjallby 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 23 13 8 2 +25 47
2 Hacken 22 10 8 4 +14 38
3 Norrkoping 23 10 6 7 +12 36
4 Elfsborg 23 8 12 3 +5 36
5 Sirius 22 9 8 5 +4 35
6 Djurgarden 22 9 6 7 +7 33
7 Hammarby 23 8 9 6 +1 33
8 Mjallby 23 8 7 8 -2 31
9 Ostersunds 23 7 9 7 -2 30
10 Orebro 24 8 6 10 -5 30
11 Varberg 23 7 6 10 -3 27
12 AIK 22 7 6 9 -4 27
13 Goteborg 23 4 12 7 -8 24
14 Helsingborg 23 4 9 10 -12 21
15 Falkenbergs 24 4 7 13 -16 19
16 Kalmar 23 4 7 12 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Jun -20 Mjallby – Hammarby 2–1

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.