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Svenska Cupen

Referee: F Oppong

Elfsborg

U T S S T

3–1

Full-time

Orgryte

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Orgryte

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,7

3,7

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

3,0

Scored

5,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+5,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Elfsborg 15. · Orgryte 34. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stockholm Internazionale	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Trelleborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	AIK	2	1	1	0	+6	4
10	Hammarby	2	1	1	0	+5	4
11	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Varberg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Karlberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
17	FBK Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+4	3
18	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	+3	3
19	Berga	2	1	0	1	+3	3
20	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+3	3
21	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	Jonkopings Sodra	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+2	3
25	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Oster	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Oddevold	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Helsingborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Ariana	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	IK brage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Varnamo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Täby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Orebro SK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Simrishamn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Torslanda	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Eskilsminne	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	Gefle IF	2	1	0	1	-3	3
56	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
57	Utsikten	2	1	0	1	-4	3
58	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
60	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
61	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
62	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
65	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Stockholm Internazionale	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Torslanda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Karlberg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
16	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
17	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
18	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Hammarby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Tord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Berga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Piteå	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Ariana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
59	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-5	0
60	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
61	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trelleborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Varberg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	AIK	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	FBK Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Sollentuna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Berga	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Jonkopings Sodra	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Ariana	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Oster	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Oddevold	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Täby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Helsingborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Piteå	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Simrishamn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	IK brage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Tord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Järfälla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Orebro SK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	-2	3
48	Gefle IF	2	1	0	1	-3	3
49	Utsikten	2	1	0	1	-4	3
50	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Karlberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.