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Serie B
Referee: G Ayroldi
Juve Stabia
U T S T S
3–0
Full-time
Cosenza
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juve Stabia Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 28%
36%
20%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
52%
32%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,1
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
7 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juve Stabia 6. · Cosenza 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 26 19 4 3 +33 61
2 Pisa 25 15 6 4 +17 51
3 Spezia 26 13 11 2 +23 50
4 Cremonese 26 11 8 7 +11 41
5 Catanzaro 26 8 15 3 +8 39
6 Juve Stabia 25 9 9 7 -1 36
7 Bari 26 7 13 6 +3 34
8 Cesena 25 9 6 10 -1 33
9 Palermo 25 8 7 10 +2 31
10 Modena 26 6 13 7 +0 31
11 Cittadella 26 8 7 11 -14 31
12 Carrarese 26 8 6 12 -9 30
13 Brescia 26 6 11 9 -5 29
14 Reggiana 25 7 7 11 -5 28
15 Sampdoria 26 6 10 10 -7 28
16 Mantova 25 6 10 9 -8 28
17 Sudtirol 26 8 4 14 -12 28
18 Cosenza 25 5 10 10 -7 25
19 Salernitana 26 6 7 13 -11 25
20 Frosinone 25 4 10 11 -17 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juve Stabia Cosenza
16′
🟨 Mario Gargiulo
N. Fortini 🔁
↦ C. Andreoni
27′
31′
🟨 Manuel Ricciardi
Demba Thiam 🟨
36′
36′
🟨 Christian Kouan
Niccolò Fortini 🟨
38′
1–0 A. Adorante
K. Piscopo
45′
Half-time 1–0
Marco Ruggero 🟨
51′
2–0 A. Adorante
D. Thiam
58′
59′
🔁 A. Rizzo Pinna
↦ C. Kouan
60′
🔁 R. Ciervo
↦ M. Ricciardi
Giuseppe Leone ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
62′
66′
🟨 Massimo Zilli
67′
🔁 C. Kourfalidis
↦ L. Garritano
67′
🔁 M. Venturi
↦ C. Dalle Mura
M. Meli 🔁
↦ L. Candellone
73′
E. Dubickas 🔁
↦ A. Adorante
73′
76′
🔁 T. Fumagalli
↦ M. Zilli
3–0 N. Fortini
E. Dubickas
86′
A. Louati 🔁
↦ G. Leone
90′
F. Maistro 🔁
↦ K. Piscopo
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Juve Stabia

3-4-1-2
20 D. Thiam G
4 M. Ruggero D
45 P. Peda D
2 D. Quaranta D
28 C. Andreoni M
55 G. Leone M
8 D. Buglio M
3 Y. Rocchetti M
11 K. Piscopo F
27 L. Candellone F
9 A. Adorante F
Bench (12)
29 N. Fortini
14 M. Meli
7 E. Dubickas
80 A. Louati
37 F. Maistro
1 K. Matošević
18 L. Sgarbi
17 G. Morachioli
25 A. Gerbo
16 A. Signorini
13 M. Baldi
98 N. Mosti

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Cosenza

3-4-3
1 A. Micai G
55 A. Hristov D
15 C. Dalle Mura D
17 A. Caporale D
16 M. Ricciardi M
28 C. Kouan M
5 M. Gargiulo M
11 T. D'Orazio M
9 G. Artistico F
21 M. Zilli F
7 L. Garritano F
Bench (12)
20 A. Rizzo Pinna
19 R. Ciervo
39 C. Kourfalidis
23 M. Venturi
10 T. Fumagalli
41 L. Contiero
22 T. Vettorel
12 G. Baldi
31 G. Ricci
4 P. Martino
6 Charlys
29 F. Sgarbi

Coach: M. Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,95
U
3,12
B
4,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,41
U2,5
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.