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Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
Ein Frankfurt
S U T U U
3–1
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,3
5,0
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 33%
52%
14%
Points per game
1,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
62%
81%
Both score Ø 74%
71%
76%
Average goals
3,5
4,1
Scored
2,2
1,6
Conceded
1,3
2,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,53 xG 1,41
51% Possession 49%
20 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 3. · Holstein Kiel 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 22 17 4 1 +46 +38.0 55
2 Leverkusen 22 13 8 1 +22 +19.4 47
3 Ein Frankfurt 21 11 6 4 +18 +10.0 39
4 RB Leipzig 22 10 7 5 +7 -6.3 37
5 Freiburg 22 11 3 8 -7 +0.2 36
6 Stuttgart 22 10 5 7 +7 +8.1 35
7 M'gladbach 22 10 4 8 +3 -5.1 34
8 Wolfsburg 22 9 6 7 +9 -2.1 33
9 Mainz 21 9 5 7 +9 -0.5 32
10 Werder Bremen 22 8 6 8 -7 -2.3 30
11 Dortmund 22 8 5 9 -1 +4.9 29
12 Augsburg 22 7 7 8 -11 -8.3 28
13 Union Berlin 22 6 6 10 -8 -1.8 24
14 St Pauli 22 6 3 13 -7 -6.4 21
15 Hoffenheim 22 5 6 11 -16 -10.2 21
16 Heidenheim 21 4 2 15 -18 -7.8 14
17 Bochum 22 3 5 14 -25 -16.2 14
18 Holstein Kiel 21 3 4 14 -21 -13.5 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Holstein Kiel
1–0 H. Larsson
N. Brown
18′
2–0 Tuta
37′
Hugo Ekitiké ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
43′
Hugo Ekitiké
penalty missed
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Javorček
↦ T. Becker
Mahmoud Dahoud 🔁
↦ O. Højlund
50′
58′
🔁 S. Machino
↦ P. Harres
59′
🔁 A. Kelati
↦ L. Holtby
3–0 C. Uzun
60′
Mahmoud Dahoud 🟨
62′
E. Wahi 🔁
↦ C. Uzun
71′
N. Nkounkou 🔁
↦ N. Brown
71′
72′
🔁 M. Ivezić
↦ I. Nekić
73′
F. Porath 3–1
82′
🔁 M. Knudsen
↦ M. Komenda
Rasmus Kristensen 🟨
85′
J. Bahoya 🔁
↦ H. Ekitiké
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
34 N. Collins D
35 Tuta D
3 A. Theate D
13 R. Kristensen M
16 H. Larsson M
6 O. Højlund M
21 N. Brown M
27 M. Götze F
20 C. Uzun F
11 H. Ekitiké F
Bench (9)
18 Mahmoud Dahoud
17 E. Wahi
29 N. Nkounkou
19 J. Bahoya
40 Kauã Santos
8 F. Chaïbi
30 M. Batshuayi
5 A. Amenda
36 A. Knauff

Coach: D. Toppmöller

Holstein Kiel

3-1-4-2
21 T. Dähne G
13 I. Nekić D
26 D. Zec D
3 M. Komenda D
22 N. Remberg M
17 T. Becker M
37 A. Gigović M
10 L. Holtby M
8 F. Porath M
19 P. Harres F
20 F. Arp F
Bench (9)
33 D. Javorček
18 S. Machino
16 A. Kelati
6 M. Ivezić
24 M. Knudsen
31 M. Engelhardt
15 M. Schulz
23 L. Rosenboom
14 M. Geschwill

Coach: M. Rapp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,33
U
5,69
B
8,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,39
U2,5
3,01
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.