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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Valladolid
S T T T T
0–4
Full-time
Sevilla
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 24%
17%
30%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
61%
39%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
0,7
1,1
Conceded
2,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,47 xG 1,06
52% Possession 48%
7 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 20. · Sevilla 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 24 15 6 3 +29 +23.7 51
2 Ath Madrid 24 14 8 2 +23 +18.4 50
3 Barcelona 23 15 3 5 +39 +27.7 48
4 Ath Bilbao 24 12 9 3 +16 +14.5 45
5 Villarreal 24 11 8 5 +12 +15.7 41
6 Vallecano 23 9 8 6 +3 +2.0 35
7 Osasuna 24 7 11 6 -4 -6.7 32
8 Sociedad 23 9 4 10 +0 +3.7 31
9 Girona 24 9 4 11 -3 -0.2 31
10 Mallorca 23 9 4 10 -9 -2.0 31
11 Getafe 24 7 9 8 +2 -4.9 30
12 Celta 24 8 5 11 -3 +6.5 29
13 Betis 23 7 8 8 -4 +2.3 29
14 Sevilla 23 7 7 9 -9 -4.5 28
15 Espanol 24 6 6 12 -13 -18.6 24
16 Leganes 24 5 9 10 -13 -22.1 24
17 Las Palmas 23 6 5 12 -10 -21.4 23
18 Valencia 24 5 8 11 -13 -9.0 23
19 Alaves 24 5 7 12 -10 -3.0 22
20 Valladolid 23 4 3 16 -33 -22.0 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Sevilla
5′
Juanlu Sánchez 0–1
R. Vargas
Half-time 0–2
46′
Isaac Romero 0–2
Juanlu Sánchez
S. Amallah 🔁
↦ F. Grillitsch
46′
D. Machís 🔁
↦ A. Aznou
46′
47′
🟨 Isaac Romero
Tamás Nikitscher 🟨
51′
52′
🟨 Adrià Pedrosa
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ Juanmi Latasa
61′
67′
Juanlu Sánchez 0–3
D. Lukébakio
Anuar 🟨
72′
S. Jurić 🔁
↦ Mario Martín
74′
75′
🔁 C. Ejuke
↦ Isaac Romero
Selim Amallah 🟨
81′
82′
🔁 Manu Bueno
↦ Juanlu Sánchez
82′
🔁 Suso
↦ R. Vargas
84′
D. Lukébakio 0–4
C. Ejuke
85′
🔁 Peque Fernández
↦ D. Lukébakio
85′
🔁 Ramón Martínez
↦ N. Gudelj
Mamadou Sylla 🟨
91′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-1-4-1
13 K. Hein G
2 Luis Pérez D
16 J. Aidoo D
3 David Torres D
22 A. Candela D
4 T. Nikitscher M
23 A. Tuhami M
8 F. Grillitsch M
12 Mario Martín M
39 A. Aznou M
14 Juanmi Latasa F
Bench (11)
21 S. Amallah
18 D. Machís
7 M. Sylla
20 S. Jurić
15 E. Cömert
29 Adrián Arnu
1 André Ferreira
28 Chuky
30 Raúl Chasco
10 Iván Sánchez
6 C. Özkacar

Coach: D. Cocca

Sevilla

4-3-3
13 Ø. Nyland G
2 José Ángel Carmona D
6 N. Gudelj D
4 Kike Salas D
3 Adrià Pedrosa D
26 Juanlu Sánchez M
18 L. Agoumé M
20 D. Sow M
11 D. Lukébakio F
7 Isaac Romero F
5 R. Vargas F
Bench (10)
21 C. Ejuke
28 Manu Bueno
10 Suso
14 Peque Fernández
35 Ramón Martínez
37 Pablo Rivera
33 Matías Árbol
27 S. Idumbo
23 Marcão
1 Álvaro Fernández

Coach: García Pimienta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,01
U
3,38
B ✓
1,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.