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La Liga

Referee: Miguel Ortiz

Mallorca

T T T T U

3–1

Full-time

Las Palmas

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Las Palmas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

0,3

0,8

Conceded

1,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 33%

39%

26%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

39%

61%

Both score Ø 59%

43%

74%

Average goals

2,1

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,68 xG 0,96

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

4 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mallorca 11. · Las Palmas 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	24	15	6	3	+29	+23.7	51
2	Ath Madrid	24	14	8	2	+23	+18.4	50
3	Barcelona	23	15	3	5	+39	+27.7	48
4	Ath Bilbao	24	12	9	3	+16	+14.5	45
5	Villarreal	24	11	8	5	+12	+15.7	41
6	Vallecano	23	9	8	6	+3	+2.0	35
7	Osasuna	24	7	11	6	-4	-6.7	32
8	Sociedad	23	9	4	10	+0	+3.7	31
9	Girona	24	9	4	11	-3	-0.2	31
10	Sevilla	24	8	7	9	-5	-3.9	31
11	Mallorca	23	9	4	10	-9	-2.0	31
12	Getafe	24	7	9	8	+2	-4.9	30
13	Celta	24	8	5	11	-3	+6.5	29
14	Betis	23	7	8	8	-4	+2.3	29
15	Espanol	24	6	6	12	-13	-18.6	24
16	Leganes	24	5	9	10	-13	-22.1	24
17	Las Palmas	23	6	5	12	-10	-21.4	23
18	Valencia	24	5	8	11	-13	-9.0	23
19	Alaves	24	5	7	12	-10	-3.0	22
20	Valladolid	24	4	3	17	-37	-22.6	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	13	9	4	0	+16	+17.1	31
2	Real Madrid	11	9	1	1	+18	+17.2	28
3	Ath Bilbao	12	7	4	1	+12	+9.2	25
4	Celta	12	7	2	3	+8	+5.3	23
5	Osasuna	13	6	5	2	+5	+2.0	23
6	Espanol	13	6	4	3	+3	-4.8	22
7	Barcelona	10	7	0	3	+19	+19.1	21
8	Villarreal	12	5	5	2	+9	+8.3	20
9	Girona	12	6	1	5	+4	+7.2	19
10	Valencia	12	5	3	4	+4	+1.8	18
11	Vallecano	11	5	3	3	+2	+6.4	18
12	Sevilla	12	5	3	4	-3	+0.8	18
13	Betis	11	4	5	2	+2	+9.7	17
14	Sociedad	12	5	2	5	-1	+3.6	17
15	Getafe	12	3	7	2	+3	+3.0	16
16	Mallorca	12	4	4	4	-3	-2.8	16
17	Leganes	12	4	2	6	-7	-7.8	14
18	Las Palmas	12	3	4	5	-2	-5.6	13
19	Alaves	11	3	4	4	-2	+0.2	13
20	Valladolid	12	3	3	6	-12	-8.0	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	8	3	2	+20	+8.6	27
2	Real Madrid	13	6	5	2	+11	+6.5	23
3	Villarreal	12	6	3	3	+3	+7.4	21
4	Ath Bilbao	12	5	5	2	+4	+5.3	20
5	Ath Madrid	11	5	4	2	+7	+1.2	19
6	Vallecano	12	4	5	3	+1	-4.4	17
7	Mallorca	11	5	0	6	-6	+0.8	15
8	Sociedad	11	4	2	5	+1	+0.2	14
9	Getafe	12	4	2	6	-1	-7.9	14
10	Sevilla	12	3	4	5	-2	-4.8	13
11	Betis	12	3	3	6	-6	-7.4	12
12	Girona	12	3	3	6	-7	-7.4	12
13	Leganes	12	1	7	4	-6	-14.3	10
14	Las Palmas	11	3	1	7	-8	-15.8	10
15	Alaves	13	2	3	8	-8	-3.2	9
16	Osasuna	11	1	6	4	-9	-8.7	9
17	Celta	12	1	3	8	-11	+1.2	6
18	Valencia	12	0	5	7	-17	-10.8	5
19	Valladolid	12	1	0	11	-25	-14.6	3
20	Espanol	11	0	2	9	-16	-13.8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.