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Super League
Referee: C Vergetis
Levadeiakos
T T T S S
4–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levadeiakos Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Super League · 24/22 matches
Win Ø 36%
21%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
46%
36%
Both score Ø 52%
58%
45%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levadeiakos 11. · Aris Thessalonikis 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 24 16 4 4 +30 52
2 Olympiakos 24 15 6 3 +22 51
3 Panathinaikos 24 12 8 4 +6 44
4 PAOK 24 12 5 7 +17 41
5 Asteras Tripolis 25 11 6 8 +5 39
6 Aris Thessalonikis 22 11 4 7 +5 37
7 Aris 23 11 4 8 +2 37
8 OFI Crete 25 10 6 9 -2 36
9 Panetolikos 23 9 5 9 +0 32
10 Atromitos 25 8 5 12 -3 29
11 Levadeiakos 24 5 9 10 -6 24
12 Volos NFC 23 7 3 13 -18 24
13 Panserraikos 24 6 4 14 -16 22
14 Athens Kallithea 24 3 9 12 -15 18
15 Lamia 24 1 6 17 -27 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levadeiakos Aris Thessalonikis
6′
🟨 Monchu
1–0 T. Tsapras
I. Kosti
21′
29′
R. Erramuspe 2–0
own goal
Joel Abu Hanna 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–0
P. Simelidis 🔁
↦ J. Abu Hanna
46′
J. Romo 🔁
↦ M. Moreira
46′
3–0 R. Erramuspe
G. Balzi
51′
4–0 P. Simelidis
J. Romo
54′
60′
🔁 G. Fetfatzidis
↦ K. Saverio
60′
🔁 P. Sisto
↦ D. Špikić
F. Pedrozo 🔁
↦ A. Ožbolt
64′
67′
🔁 Hugo Mallo
↦ Martín Montoya
67′
🔁 C. Diandy
↦ Monchu
L. Jallow 🔁
↦ G. Balzi
74′
5–0 F. Pedrozo
79′
81′
🔁 R. Quaison
↦ Fran Vélez
P. Liagas 🔁
↦ I. Kosti
83′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Levadeiakos

3-4-2-1
12 R. Macagno G
36 G. Katris D
5 R. Erramuspe D
4 J. Abu Hanna D
6 T. Tsapras M
23 E. Çokaj M
69 M. Moreira M
3 M. Vichos M
11 G. Balzi F
18 I. Kosti F
21 A. Ožbolt F
Bench (9)
31 P. Simelidis
9 J. Romo
15 F. Pedrozo
19 L. Jallow
24 P. Liagas
8 K. Plegas
20 P. Kassos
1 T. Garavelis
7 B. Verbič

Coach: N. Papadopoulos

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
33 Martín Montoya D
3 Fabiano D
4 Fran Vélez D
37 H. Mendyl D
5 J. Cifuentes M
8 Monchu M
70 D. Špikić M
16 V. Darida M
11 K. Saverio M
80 Loren Morón F
Bench (9)
10 G. Fetfatzidis
7 P. Sisto
22 Hugo Mallo
99 C. Diandy
19 R. Quaison
14 J. Brabec
21 Rubén Pardo
30 J. Jules
20 F. Sidklev

Coach: M. Ouzounidis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Vergetis · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.