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Svenska Cupen

Referee: P Melin

IK brage

U U S S U

0–1

Full-time

Elfsborg

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

IK brage Elfsborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

1,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

4,5

Scored

1,0

4,0

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+3,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match IK brage 20. · Elfsborg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mjallby	3	3	0	0	+13	9
2	GAIS	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Hacken	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Goteborg	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Norrkoping	3	3	0	0	+5	9
6	Stockholm Internazionale	4	3	0	1	+4	9
7	Hammarby	3	2	1	0	+8	7
8	Djurgarden	3	2	1	0	+7	7
9	Degerfors	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	Trelleborg	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+8	6
12	Elfsborg	2	2	0	0	+7	6
13	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+7	6
14	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+6	6
15	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
16	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
17	Sirius	3	2	0	1	+0	6
18	AIK	3	1	2	0	+6	5
19	Brommapojkarna	2	1	1	0	+5	4
20	IK brage	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	Varberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
22	Oddevold	3	1	1	1	+0	4
23	Karlberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
24	FBK Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+4	3
25	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	+3	3
26	Berga	2	1	0	1	+3	3
27	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+3	3
28	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Jonkopings Sodra	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Ariana	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Täby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Varnamo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
40	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Orgryte	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Simrishamn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Helsingborg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
48	Torslanda	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Orebro SK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
53	Eskilsminne	2	1	0	1	-3	3
54	Sandviken	3	1	0	2	-4	3
55	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
56	Utsikten	2	1	0	1	-4	3
57	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	-4	3
58	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
60	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
61	Gefle IF	3	1	0	2	-8	3
62	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
65	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Stockholm Internazionale	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Torslanda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Karlberg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
20	Sirius	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
22	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
23	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
24	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
25	Oddevold	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Hammarby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Trelleborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Brommapojkarna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
32	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Tord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Berga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
43	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Piteå	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Ariana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
69	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Degerfors	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Trelleborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	AIK	2	1	1	0	+6	4
10	Djurgarden	2	1	1	0	+5	4
11	IK brage	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Varberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	FBK Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
17	Sollentuna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Berga	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Jonkopings Sodra	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Ariana	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Täby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Helsingborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Piteå	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Simrishamn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Tord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Järfälla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Oddevold	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Orgryte	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	Orebro SK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
47	Gefle IF	2	1	0	1	-3	3
48	Sandviken	3	1	0	2	-4	3
49	Utsikten	2	1	0	1	-4	3
50	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Karlberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.