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Ekstraklasa
Referee: L Kuźma
Slask Wroclaw
S U T S T
2–1
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slask Wroclaw Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 20%
25%
14%
Points per game
1,1
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
38%
71%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,4
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 7
8 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Slask Wroclaw 16. · Lechia Gdansk 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 8 5 2 1 +12 17
2 Legia 8 5 2 1 +4 17
3 Pogon Szczecin 8 5 1 2 +5 16
4 Cracovia 9 4 1 4 +3 13
5 Stal Mielec 8 4 1 3 +2 13
6 Rakow 7 4 1 2 +2 13
7 Widzew Lodz 9 4 1 4 +1 13
8 Radomiak Radom 8 3 2 3 -1 11
9 Warta Poznan 9 3 2 4 -3 11
10 Lech Poznan 7 3 1 3 +1 10
11 Korona Kielce 8 3 1 4 +0 10
12 Zaglebie 9 2 4 3 -4 10
13 Gornik Zabrze 7 2 3 2 +0 9
14 Piast Gliwice 7 3 0 4 +0 9
15 Jagiellonia 8 2 3 3 -1 9
16 Slask Wroclaw 8 2 3 3 -5 9
17 Legnica 7 1 1 5 -6 4
18 Lechia Gdansk 7 1 1 5 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Slask Wroclaw Lechia Gdansk
17′
ℹ️ Maciej Gajos
VAR: Goal cancelled
24′
🟨 Joeri de Kamps
29′
P. Janasik 1–0
own goal
35′
🟨 David Stec
Martin Konczkowski 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
Víctor García 🔁
↦ D. Jastrzembski
64′
64′
🔁 C. Clemens
↦ K. Sezonienko
66′
🔁 Flávio Paixão
↦ L. Zwoliński
66′
🔁 K. Tobers
↦ M. Nalepa
66′
🔁 J. Kałuziński
↦ J. de Kamps
2–0 Erik Expósito
J. Yeboah
71′
78′
🔁 M. Terrazzino
↦ M. Gajos
John Yeboah ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
85′
85′
🟨 Dušan Kuciak
John Yeboah 🟨
88′
A. Łyszczarz 🔁
↦ J. Yeboah
88′
Diogo Verdasca 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Conrado Buchanelli Holz
2–1 D. Stec
own goal
90′
93′
🟥 Mario Maloča
D. Grétarsson 🔁
↦ Nahuel Leiva
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Slask Wroclaw

4-2-3-1
1 M. Szromnik G
27 M. Konczkowski D
34 K. Poprawa D
2 Diogo Verdasca D
19 P. Janasik D
20 A. Bukowski M
8 P. Olsen M
7 J. Yeboah M
15 Nahuel Leiva M
11 D. Jastrzembski M
9 Erik Expósito F
Bench (9)
23 Víctor García
33 A. Łyszczarz
6 D. Grétarsson
12 R. Leszczyński
10 Caye Quintana
32 S. Bergier
4 Ł. Bejger
24 P. Samiec-Talar
16 J. Hyjek

Coach: I. Đurđević

Lechia Gdansk

4-1-4-1
12 D. Kuciak G
29 D. Stec D
25 M. Nalepa D
23 M. Maloča D
2 R. Pietrzak D
8 J. de Kamps M
79 K. Sezonienko M
7 M. Gajos M
6 J. Kubicki M
20 Conrado M
9 L. Zwoliński F
Bench (9)
17 C. Clemens
28 Flávio Paixão
4 K. Tobers
88 J. Kałuziński
33 M. Terrazzino
1 M. Buchalik
10 B. Diabaté
97 J. Abu Hanna
11 D. Piła

Coach: T. Kaczmarek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Kuźma · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.