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2. Bundesliga

Referee: A Sather

Karlsruhe

S S T U U

4–2

Full-time

Bielefeld

U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Bielefeld

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,3

4,0

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 34%

37%

30%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

52%

63%

Both score Ø 60%

52%

67%

Average goals

3,1

3,2

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

18 Shots 22

8 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karlsruhe 9. · Bielefeld 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	27	17	7	3	+21	58
2	Heidenheim	28	15	9	4	+25	54
3	Hamburg	28	16	5	7	+19	53
4	St Pauli	27	13	8	6	+13	47
5	Paderborn	28	14	4	10	+20	46
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	27	13	5	9	+11	44
7	Kaiserslautern	28	11	10	7	+6	43
8	Holstein Kiel	28	10	10	8	+2	40
9	Karlsruhe	27	10	6	11	+1	36
10	Greuther Furth	28	9	9	10	-2	36
11	Hannover	28	9	7	12	-6	34
12	Magdeburg	28	9	5	14	-12	32
13	Nurnberg	28	8	6	14	-17	30
14	Bielefeld	27	8	5	14	-4	29
15	Braunschweig	27	7	8	12	-12	29
16	Regensburg	28	7	6	15	-17	27
17	Hansa Rostock	28	7	4	17	-23	25
18	Sandhausen	28	6	6	16	-25	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	14	10	3	1	+21	33
2	Darmstadt	14	9	5	0	+15	32
3	Paderborn	14	10	0	4	+22	30
4	Hamburg	14	9	2	3	+16	29
5	St Pauli	13	8	5	0	+13	29
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	8	3	2	+14	27
7	Greuther Furth	14	7	6	1	+7	27
8	Kaiserslautern	14	6	6	2	+5	24
9	Karlsruhe	14	6	3	5	+2	21
10	Braunschweig	14	6	3	5	+2	21
11	Hannover	14	6	3	5	+1	21
12	Nurnberg	14	6	2	6	-1	20
13	Holstein Kiel	14	5	4	5	+3	19
14	Regensburg	14	4	6	4	-6	18
15	Bielefeld	14	5	2	7	+1	17
16	Magdeburg	14	4	3	7	-4	15
17	Sandhausen	13	3	3	7	-14	12
18	Hansa Rostock	14	3	1	10	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	13	8	2	3	+6	26
2	Hamburg	14	7	3	4	+3	24
3	Heidenheim	14	5	6	3	+4	21
4	Holstein Kiel	14	5	6	3	-1	21
5	Kaiserslautern	14	5	4	5	+1	19
6	St Pauli	14	5	3	6	+0	18
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	5	2	7	-3	17
8	Magdeburg	14	5	2	7	-8	17
9	Paderborn	14	4	4	6	-2	16
10	Karlsruhe	13	4	3	6	-1	15
11	Hansa Rostock	14	4	3	7	-11	15
12	Hannover	14	3	4	7	-7	13
13	Bielefeld	13	3	3	7	-5	12
14	Sandhausen	15	3	3	9	-11	12
15	Nurnberg	14	2	4	8	-16	10
16	Greuther Furth	14	2	3	9	-9	9
17	Regensburg	14	3	0	11	-11	9
18	Braunschweig	13	1	5	7	-14	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.