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Bundesliga
Referee: J Spurny
A. Klagenfurt
S S T T T
0–2
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

A. Klagenfurt Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 51%
38%
63%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
71%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
3,4
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 10
0 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match A. Klagenfurt 8. · Sturm Graz 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 24 18 5 1 +39 59
2 Sturm Graz 24 15 6 3 +23 51
3 LASK 24 11 9 4 +11 42
4 Austria Vienna 24 10 7 7 +6 37
5 SK Rapid 24 11 3 10 +8 36
6 A. Lustenau 25 9 6 10 -8 33
7 Tirol 25 9 5 11 -2 32
8 A. Klagenfurt 24 9 3 12 -10 30
9 Wolfsberger AC 25 8 3 14 -7 27
10 Hartberg 25 6 4 15 -19 22
11 Altach 25 5 6 14 -22 21
12 Ried 25 4 7 14 -19 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

A. Klagenfurt Sturm Graz
31′
🟨 Otar Kiteishvili
Half-time 0–0
50′
ℹ️ Emanuel Emegha
VAR: Goal cancelled
52′
🟨 Albian Ajeti
53′
🟨 Jon Gorenc Stanković
58′
ℹ️ Tomi Horvat
VAR: Penalty confirmed
J. Arweiler 🔁
↦ S. Soto
60′
63′
T. Horvat 0–1
A. Prass
C. Wernitznig 🔁
↦ S. Bonnah
69′
F. Rieder 🔁
↦ A. Irving
69′
69′
🔁 J. Gazibegović
↦ S. Ingolitsch
70′
🔁 M. Sarkaria
↦ A. Ajeti
75′
🟨 Emanuel Emegha
80′
🔁 S. Hierländer
↦ O. Kiteishvili
F. Jaritz 🔁
↦ M. Moreira
81′
M. Blauensteiner 🔁
↦ V. Demaku
81′
89′
🟨 Stefan Hierländer
89′
🔁 G. Wüthrich
↦ T. Horvat
89′
🔁 Bryan Teixeira
↦ E. Emegha
93′
J. Gazibegović 0–2
M. Sarkaria
95′
ℹ️ Jusuf Gazibegović
VAR: Goal confirmed
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

A. Klagenfurt

5-3-2
13 P. Menzel G
2 S. Bonnah D
8 K. Gkezos D
31 T. Mahrer D
37 N. Wimmer D
6 M. Moreira D
21 V. Demaku M
20 R. Benatelli M
19 A. Irving M
11 S. Soto F
16 N. Binder F
Bench (7)
39 J. Arweiler
24 C. Wernitznig
23 F. Rieder
7 F. Jaritz
5 M. Blauensteiner
70 F. Miesenböck
1 M. Knaller

Coach: P. Pacult

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 A. Okonkwo G
24 S. Ingolitsch D
42 D. Affengruber D
6 A. Borković D
44 A. Danté D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
20 E. Emegha F
9 A. Ajeti F
Bench (7)
22 J. Gazibegović
11 M. Sarkaria
25 S. Hierländer
5 G. Wüthrich
17 Bryan Teixeira
15 W. Bøving
27 J. Siebenhandl

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Spurny · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.