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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Mechelen
T S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Gent
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
0,7
3,2
Conceded
2,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 33/28 matches
Win Ø 46%
30%
61%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
67%
54%
Both score Ø 47%
55%
39%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%
2 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 14. · Gent 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 29 22 5 2 +47 71
2 Antwerp 28 20 4 4 +35 64
3 St. Gilloise 27 20 4 3 +27 64
4 Gent 28 17 4 7 +34 55
5 Club Brugge 29 16 7 6 +23 55
6 Charleroi 34 16 5 13 +2 53
7 Anderlecht 34 15 7 12 +12 52
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 13 9 13 +11 48
9 St Truiden 35 13 9 13 +0 48
10 Cercle Brugge 29 12 10 7 +9 46
11 Standard 28 13 5 10 +5 44
12 Westerlo 28 11 8 9 +6 41
13 Kortrijk 34 10 7 17 -19 37
14 Mechelen 33 10 6 17 -19 36
15 Waregem 35 7 10 18 -25 31
16 Eupen 35 8 7 20 -29 31
17 Oostende 35 6 7 22 -41 25
18 Seraing 32 5 4 23 -39 19
19 Seraing United 32 5 4 23 -39 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Gent
Birger Verstraete 🟨
38′
42′
M. Samoise 0–1
1–1 D. Wouters
G. Hairemans
45′
Half-time 1–1
Alessio Da Cruz 🔁
↦ D. Wouters
46′
46′
🔁 G. Orban
↦ T. Tissoudali
Y. Malede 🔁
↦ A. Van Hoorenbeeck
62′
I. Swers 🔁
↦ S. Walsh
62′
J. Ngoy 🔁
↦ E. Agyei
73′
76′
🔁 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
↦ S. Kums
76′
🔁 M. Fofana
↦ A. Castro-Montes
N. Mukau 🔁
↦ D. Lavalée
81′
89′
🔁 L. Depoitre
↦ Hong Hyun-Seok
91′
🟨 Matisse Samoise
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

3-4-1-2
1 G. Coucke G
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
27 D. Bates D
4 D. Wouters D
5 S. Walsh M
14 D. Lavalée M
66 B. Verstraete M
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck M
7 G. Hairemans F
23 E. Agyei F
11 N. Storm F
Bench (7)
22 Alessio Da Cruz
10 Y. Malede
2 I. Swers
9 J. Ngoy
34 N. Mukau
35 B. Bafdili
15 Y. Thoelen

Coach: S. Defour

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 P. Nardi G
2 J. Okumu D
4 K. Piątkowski D
25 Núrio Fortuna D
18 M. Samoise M
13 J. De Sart M
24 S. Kums M
14 A. Castro-Montes M
7 Hong Hyun-Seok F
34 T. Tissoudali F
11 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
20 G. Orban
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
19 M. Fofana
29 L. Depoitre
23 J. Torunarigha
33 D. Roef
31 B. Godeau

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,87
U ✓
4,08
B
1,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.