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Eredivisie

Referee: M Nagtegaal

Ajax

S T U S S

3–1

Full-time

FC Emmen

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax FC Emmen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 40%

61%

18%

Points per game

2,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

68%

46%

Both score Ø 57%

64%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

2,7

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

68% Possession 32%

26 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

13 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 3

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 3. · FC Emmen 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	29	21	7	1	+43	70
2	PSV Eindhoven	29	19	5	5	+43	62
3	Ajax	28	17	8	3	+48	59
4	AZ Alkmaar	28	16	6	6	+21	54
5	Sparta Rotterdam	26	15	6	5	+22	51
6	Twente	26	14	7	5	+26	49
7	Utrecht	27	10	9	8	-2	39
8	Waalwijk	28	10	8	10	-2	38
9	Nijmegen	29	7	14	8	+4	35
10	Heerenveen	27	9	7	11	-9	34
11	For Sittard	28	9	5	14	-16	32
12	Go Ahead Eagles	28	7	9	12	-11	30
13	Vitesse	29	7	9	13	-12	30
14	Volendam	29	7	6	16	-27	27
15	Excelsior	29	8	3	18	-39	27
16	FC Emmen	28	5	10	13	-21	25
17	Groningen	29	4	5	20	-31	17
18	Cambuur	29	4	4	21	-37	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	12	1	1	+36	37
2	Twente	13	11	2	0	+29	35
3	Feyenoord	14	10	4	0	+23	34
4	Ajax	14	8	4	2	+29	28
5	Sparta Rotterdam	13	9	1	3	+15	28
6	Waalwijk	15	8	3	4	+10	27
7	AZ Alkmaar	14	7	5	2	+10	26
8	Excelsior	15	7	2	6	-5	23
9	Utrecht	14	5	5	4	+0	20
10	Volendam	14	6	1	7	-7	19
11	Nijmegen	15	3	9	3	+4	18
12	FC Emmen	15	3	9	3	-2	18
13	Go Ahead Eagles	13	4	5	4	-1	17
14	For Sittard	14	4	3	7	-6	15
15	Heerenveen	13	4	2	7	-7	14
16	Vitesse	14	3	5	6	-9	14
17	Groningen	14	3	3	8	-7	12
18	Cambuur	15	2	0	13	-20	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	15	11	3	1	+20	36
2	Ajax	14	9	4	1	+19	31
3	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	1	4	+11	28
4	PSV Eindhoven	15	7	4	4	+7	25
5	Sparta Rotterdam	13	6	5	2	+7	23
6	Heerenveen	14	5	5	4	-2	20
7	Utrecht	13	5	4	4	-2	19
8	Nijmegen	14	4	5	5	+0	17
9	For Sittard	14	5	2	7	-10	17
10	Vitesse	15	4	4	7	-3	16
11	Twente	13	3	5	5	-3	14
12	Go Ahead Eagles	15	3	4	8	-10	13
13	Waalwijk	13	2	5	6	-12	11
14	Cambuur	14	2	4	8	-17	10
15	Volendam	15	1	5	9	-20	8
16	FC Emmen	13	2	1	10	-19	7
17	Groningen	15	1	2	12	-24	5
18	Excelsior	14	1	1	12	-34	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.