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LaLiga2
Referee: David Gálvez
Malaga
U U S T S
1–0
Full-time
Cartagena
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 32%
20%
43%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
31%
49%
Both score Ø 45%
46%
43%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
8 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 20. · Cartagena 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 36 18 11 7 +10 65
2 Granada 36 19 7 10 +20 64
3 Las Palmas 36 16 14 6 +16 62
4 Alaves 36 17 11 8 +14 62
5 Levante 35 15 16 4 +14 61
6 Albacete 36 14 13 9 +4 55
7 Cartagena 35 15 8 12 +5 53
8 Burgos 36 12 14 10 +3 50
9 Andorra 36 13 9 14 +6 48
10 Zaragoza 36 11 14 11 +1 47
11 Huesca 36 10 16 10 +1 46
12 Villarreal B 35 12 10 13 -3 46
13 Oviedo 36 12 10 14 -4 46
14 Sp Gijon 36 10 15 11 -1 45
15 Tenerife 35 10 13 12 -1 43
16 Leganes 35 11 10 14 -6 43
17 Mirandes 35 10 12 13 -4 42
18 Santander 36 10 11 15 -5 41
19 Ponferradina 36 7 15 14 -14 36
20 Malaga 35 7 12 16 -9 33
21 Ibiza 35 6 11 18 -23 29
22 Lugo 36 5 12 19 -24 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Cartagena
Manolo Reina 🟥
-5′
-5′
🟨 Pablo Vázquez
1–0 P. Chavarría
Cristian Gutiérrez
21′
Half-time 1–0
Esteban Burgos 🟨
46′
Jonás Ramalho 🔁
↦ E. Burgos
46′
48′
🟨 Franchu
61′
🔁 Alfredo Ortuño
↦ F. Feuillassier
61′
🔁 Darío Poveda
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
Luis Muñoz 🔁
↦ Fran Villalba
65′
Pablo Chavarría 🟨
69′
74′
🔁 David Ferreiro
↦ Borja Valle
74′
🔁 A. Sadiku
↦ Y. Eteki
Javi Jiménez 🔁
↦ Cristian Gutiérrez
76′
Fran Sol 🔁
↦ P. Chavarría
76′
82′
🔁 I. Jansson
↦ Iván Martos
Rubén Yáñez 🟨
84′
87′
🟨 David Ferreiro
Alejandro Calvo 🔁
↦ Rubén Castro
89′
Fran Sol 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Malaga

5-4-1
13 Rubén Yáñez G
17 Delmás D
23 Alberto Escassi D
20 E. Burgos D
5 Juande Rivas D
39 Cristian Gutiérrez D
21 Fran Villalba M
6 Ramón Enríquez M
10 Aleix Febas M
12 P. Chavarría M
24 Rubén Castro F
Bench (12)
22 Jonás Ramalho
8 Luis Muñoz
3 Javi Jiménez
9 Fran Sol
26 Alejandro Calvo
1 Manolo Reina
16 Genaro Rodríguez
4 Unai Bustinza
29 Loren Zúñiga
19 Jozabed
2 A. Appiah
11 Álex Gallar

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Cartagena

4-2-3-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
16 Iván Calero D
4 Alcalá D
6 T. Datković D
3 Iván Martos D
23 Pêpê Rodrigues M
22 Y. Eteki M
20 Jairo Izquierdo M
8 P. De Blasis M
14 F. Feuillassier M
10 Borja Valle F
Bench (11)
9 Alfredo Ortuño
11 Darío Poveda
7 David Ferreiro
19 A. Sadiku
24 I. Jansson
17 Mikel Rico
2 Miguel Llambrich
1 Marc Martínez
5 Pablo Vázquez
12 Lee Sang-Hyeok
15 Sangalli

Coach: Luis Carrión

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,53
U
3,01
B
2,91
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

David Gálvez · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.