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La Liga
Referee: Juan Pulido
Getafe
S U S U T
0–0
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 54%
25%
82%
Points per game
1,1
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
39%
46%
Both score Ø 34%
46%
21%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,52 xG 1,59
34% Possession 66%
5 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
6 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 16. · Barcelona 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 28 23 3 2 +44 +8.6 72
2 Real Madrid 29 19 5 5 +37 +17.2 62
3 Ath Madrid 28 17 6 5 +25 +9.8 57
4 Sociedad 29 15 6 8 +9 +3.2 51
5 Betis 29 14 6 9 +7 +2.7 48
6 Villarreal 29 14 5 10 +10 +3.9 47
7 Ath Bilbao 29 12 7 10 +11 +2.3 43
8 Vallecano 29 10 10 9 +1 -2.5 40
9 Girona 29 10 8 11 +2 -2.8 38
10 Osasuna 29 10 8 11 -5 -8.1 38
11 Celta 28 9 9 10 -3 +2.7 36
12 Mallorca 28 9 7 12 -5 -3.0 34
13 Sevilla 28 8 8 12 -11 +3.1 32
14 Valladolid 29 9 5 15 -23 -12.1 32
15 Cadiz 29 7 10 12 -19 -4.4 31
16 Getafe 28 7 9 12 -9 -1.8 30
17 Almeria 28 8 6 14 -14 -3.7 30
18 Valencia 28 7 6 15 -4 -2.6 27
19 Espanol 29 6 9 14 -14 -4.0 27
20 Elche 29 2 7 20 -39 -8.5 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Barcelona
2′
🟨 Gavi
18′
🔁 Eric García
↦ Sergi Roberto
Omar Alderete 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
Damián Suárez 🟨
57′
Portu 🔁
↦ Juan Iglesias
67′
68′
🔁 Ferran Torres
↦ Jordi Alba
68′
🔁 Ansu Fati
↦ F. Kessié
Carles Aleñá 🔁
↦ M. El Haddadi
76′
Ángel Algobia 🔁
↦ N. Maksimović
76′
Gonzalo Villar 🔁
↦ E. Ünal
83′
G. Álvarez 🔁
↦ D. Suárez
83′
87′
🔁 Pablo Torre
↦ Raphinha
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Getafe

5-3-2
13 David Soria G
22 D. Suárez D
2 D. Dakonam D
6 Domingos Duarte D
15 O. Alderete D
21 Juan Iglesias D
20 N. Maksimović M
5 Luis Milla M
17 M. El Haddadi M
19 Borja Mayoral F
10 E. Ünal F
Bench (12)
9 Portu
11 Carles Aleñá
16 Ángel Algobia
24 Gonzalo Villar
4 G. Álvarez
27 Diego Conde
23 S. Mitrović
3 F. Angileri
14 Juanmi Latasa
12 J. Amavi
8 Jaime Seoane
1 Kiko Casilla

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
20 Sergi Roberto D
4 R. Araujo D
23 J. Koundé D
18 Jordi Alba D
19 F. Kessié M
5 Sergio Busquets M
30 Gavi M
22 Raphinha F
9 R. Lewandowski F
28 Alejandro Balde F
Bench (9)
24 Eric García
11 Ferran Torres
10 Ansu Fati
32 Pablo Torre
38 Ángel Alarcón
17 Marcos Alonso
36 Arnau Tenas
13 Iñaki Peña
40 Aleix Garrido

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,13
U ✓
3,87
B
1,61
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Juan Pulido · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.