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Ekstraklasa

Referee: L Kuźma

Rakow

S S T U S

1–0

Full-time

LKS Lodz

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow LKS Lodz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/7 matches

Win Ø 45%

60%

29%

Points per game

2,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

60%

43%

Both score Ø 35%

40%

29%

Average goals

2,8

2,1

Scored

2,0

0,6

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

10 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Rakow 5. · LKS Lodz 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	8	5	1	2	+6	-0.8	16
2	Legia	5	4	1	0	+9	+2.0	13
3	Zaglebie	7	4	1	2	+1	+0.8	13
4	Jagiellonia	6	4	0	2	+4	+2.8	12
5	Rakow	5	3	1	1	+6	+4.4	10
6	Cracovia	6	2	4	0	+2	-0.5	10
7	Radomiak Radom	7	3	1	3	+0	-0.6	10
8	Warta Poznan	7	2	3	2	+2	+1.6	9
9	Stal Mielec	7	2	3	2	+1	-2.6	9
10	Pogon Szczecin	7	3	0	4	-2	+4.8	9
11	Gornik Zabrze	8	2	3	3	-5	-6.4	9
12	Lech Poznan	5	2	2	1	+1	-2.1	8
13	Piast Gliwice	7	1	5	1	+0	+7.6	8
14	Widzew Lodz	7	2	1	4	-4	-1.4	7
15	Puszcza	8	2	1	5	-7	-5.4	7
16	Ruch Chorzow	8	1	3	4	-4	-1.7	6
17	LKS Lodz	7	2	0	5	-7	–	6
18	Korona Kielce	7	1	2	4	-3	-2.4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	4	4	0	0	+9	+2.0	12
2	Rakow	4	3	1	0	+7	+4.4	10
3	Zaglebie	4	3	1	0	+3	+1.5	10
4	Jagiellonia	3	3	0	0	+7	+4.7	9
5	Stal Mielec	4	2	2	0	+4	-1.2	8
6	Puszcza	4	2	1	1	+0	-1.4	7
7	Slask Wroclaw	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.4	6
8	Widzew Lodz	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.5	6
9	LKS Lodz	3	2	0	1	+0	–	6
10	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	0	2	-1	+6.0	6
11	Warta Poznan	4	1	2	1	+1	+1.4	5
12	Cracovia	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.0	5
13	Gornik Zabrze	4	1	2	1	-1	-2.5	5
14	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.0	4
15	Korona Kielce	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.5	4
16	Ruch Chorzow	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.2	4
17	Radomiak Radom	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.9	4
18	Piast Gliwice	3	1	1	1	+0	+3.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	5	3	1	1	+4	-0.5	10
2	Radomiak Radom	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.3	6
3	Cracovia	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.5	5
4	Warta Poznan	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.2	4
5	Piast Gliwice	4	0	4	0	+0	+3.9	4
6	Lech Poznan	3	1	1	1	-1	-3.0	4
7	Gornik Zabrze	4	1	1	2	-4	-3.8	4
8	Pogon Szczecin	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.2	3
9	Zaglebie	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.7	3
10	Jagiellonia	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.9	3
11	Ruch Chorzow	5	0	2	3	-5	-1.5	2
12	Legia	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
13	Stal Mielec	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.4	1
14	Widzew Lodz	4	0	1	3	-4	-2.9	1
15	Korona Kielce	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.9	1
16	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
17	Puszcza	4	0	0	4	-7	-4.0	0
18	LKS Lodz	4	0	0	4	-7	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.