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Ekstraklasa
Referee: T Kwiatkowski
Cracovia
T T U T S
3–0
Full-time
Rakow
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 55%
43%
67%
Points per game
1,4
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
14%
50%
Both score Ø 32%
14%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

36% Possession 64%
16 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 7. · Rakow 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 8 5 2 1 +4 17
2 Wisla Plock 7 5 1 1 +12 16
3 Rakow 6 4 1 1 +5 13
4 Pogon Szczecin 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Stal Mielec 8 4 1 3 +2 13
6 Radomiak Radom 8 3 2 3 -1 11
7 Cracovia 7 3 1 3 +2 10
8 Widzew Lodz 7 3 1 3 +1 10
9 Korona Kielce 7 3 1 3 +1 10
10 Warta Poznan 8 3 1 4 -3 10
11 Slask Wroclaw 8 2 3 3 -5 9
12 Gornik Zabrze 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Jagiellonia 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Zaglebie 7 2 2 3 -4 8
15 Lech Poznan 6 2 1 3 -1 7
16 Piast Gliwice 6 2 0 4 -1 6
17 Legnica 6 1 1 4 -5 4
18 Lechia Gdansk 7 1 1 5 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Rakow
19′
🟨 Patryk Kun
27′
🟨 Zoran Arsenić
1–0 Y. Konoplyanka
28′
2–0 M. Rakoczy
M. Hebo
32′
Half-time 2–0
J. Jugas 🔁
↦ M. Rodin
46′
3–0 M. Rakoczy
M. Sipľak
49′
56′
🔁 F. Tudor
↦ P. Kun
56′
🔁 V. Gutkovskis
↦ F. Piasecki
56′
🔁 B. Nowak
↦ G. Papanikolaou
B. Källman 🔁
↦ M. Rakoczy
60′
66′
🔁 G. Berggren
↦ S. Czyż
O. Kakabadze 🔁
↦ Y. Konoplyanka
74′
76′
🔁 D. Szelągowski
↦ V. Kochergin
80′
🟨 Gustav Berggren
P. Jaroszyński 🔁
↦ P. Makuch
85′
Takuto Oshima 🟨
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-4-3
23 K. Niemczycki G
85 D. Jablonský D
88 M. Rodin D
5 V. Ghiță D
2 C. Râpă M
8 M. Hebo M
18 T. Oshima M
3 M. Sipľak M
11 M. Rakoczy F
71 P. Makuch F
10 Y. Konoplyanka F
Bench (9)
24 J. Jugas
9 B. Källman
25 O. Kakabadze
4 P. Jaroszyński
30 A. Wilk
21 Thiago
38 J. Myszor
20 K. Knap
22 F. Loshaj

Coach: J. Zieliński

Rakow

3-4-3
1 V. Kovačević G
4 S. Svarnas D
24 Z. Arsenić D
3 M. Rundić D
17 M. Wdowiak M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
55 S. Czyż M
23 P. Kun M
11 Ivi López F
99 F. Piasecki F
30 V. Kochergin F
Bench (8)
7 F. Tudor
21 V. Gutkovskis
27 B. Nowak
5 G. Berggren
14 D. Szelągowski
9 S. Musiolik
12 K. Trelowski
71 W. Długosz

Coach: M. Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Kwiatkowski · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.