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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Raczkowski
Rakow
U S S T U
1–1
Full-time
Cracovia
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 39%
57%
21%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
64%
29%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,1
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,12 xG 0,57
67% Possession 33%
18 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rakow 4. · Cracovia 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Slask Wroclaw 15 10 3 2 +14 +4.1 33
2 Jagiellonia 16 9 4 3 +15 +6.2 31
3 Lech Poznan 15 8 5 2 +9 -2.9 29
4 Rakow 14 8 3 3 +14 +4.7 27
5 Pogon Szczecin 15 8 2 5 +12 +9.5 26
6 Legia 14 7 3 4 +3 +1.5 24
7 Zaglebie 16 7 3 6 -5 +4.3 24
8 Radomiak Radom 15 5 4 6 -1 +1.0 19
9 Widzew Lodz 15 5 4 6 -2 -2.1 19
10 Gornik Zabrze 15 5 4 6 -2 -5.6 19
11 Piast Gliwice 16 2 12 2 +0 +10.3 18
12 Stal Mielec 15 5 3 7 -2 -7.2 18
13 Warta Poznan 15 4 5 6 -2 -1.1 17
14 Korona Kielce 14 3 7 4 +0 -0.6 16
15 Cracovia 14 3 6 5 -6 -0.2 15
16 Puszcza 15 3 4 8 -12 -8.3 13
17 Ruch Chorzow 15 1 6 8 -12 -6.6 9
18 LKS Lodz 16 2 2 12 -23 -7.1 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rakow Cracovia
Fran Tudor 🟨
20′
25′
V. Ghiță 0–1
J. Atanasov
Half-time 0–1
F. Piasecki 🔁
↦ A. Crnac
46′
B. Nowak 🔁
↦ S. Kittel
64′
66′
🔁 M. Rakoczy
↦ M. Bochnak
68′
🟨 Andreas Skovgaard
D. Sorescu 🔁
↦ M. Cebula
70′
71′
🔁 P. Jaroszyński
↦ A. Skovgaard
73′
🟨 Otar Kakabadze
A. Kovačević 🔁
↦ B. Lederman
82′
D. Drachal 🔁
↦ Jean Carlos
82′
83′
🔁 C. Râpă
↦ B. Källman
83′
🔁 K. Śmiglewski
↦ O. Kakabadze
83′
🔁 K. Knap
↦ J. Atanasov
85′
🟨 Paweł Jaroszyński
86′
🟨 Takuto Oshima
1–1 B. Nowak
88′
Milan Rundić 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-3
1 V. Kovačević G
7 F. Tudor D
25 B. Racovițan D
3 M. Rundić D
14 S. Plavšić M
8 B. Lederman M
30 V. Kochergin M
20 Jean Carlos M
77 M. Cebula F
19 A. Crnac F
93 S. Kittel F
Bench (8)
99 F. Piasecki
27 B. Nowak
22 D. Sorescu
15 A. Kovačević
21 D. Drachal
24 Z. Arsenić
29 T. Mras
89 K. Bieszczad

Coach: D. Szwarga

Cracovia

5-3-2
13 S. Madejski G
25 O. Kakabadze D
24 J. Jugas D
22 A. Hoskonen D
5 V. Ghiță D
3 A. Skovgaard D
17 M. Bochnak M
18 T. Oshima M
6 J. Atanasov M
9 B. Källman F
7 P. Makuch F
Bench (9)
10 M. Rakoczy
4 P. Jaroszyński
2 C. Râpă
21 K. Śmiglewski
20 K. Knap
38 J. Myszor
31 L. Hroššo
72 B. Kolec
36 K. Jodłowski

Coach: J. Zieliński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Raczkowski · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.