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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Ross County
T T T T T
1–3
Full-time
Hearts
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 29%
26%
32%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
56%
53%
Both score Ø 47%
41%
53%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%
13 Shots 22
4 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 13
2 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 4
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 11. · Hearts 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 34 27 3 4 +80 84
2 Rangers 34 20 7 7 +33 67
3 Hibernian 34 14 11 9 +12 53
4 Aberdeen 34 15 8 11 -3 53
5 Dundee United 34 14 8 12 -4 50
6 St Mirren 34 12 6 16 -9 42
7 Motherwell 34 12 6 16 -18 42
8 Hearts 34 11 7 16 -2 40
9 Kilmarnock 34 10 8 16 -18 38
10 Dundee 34 10 7 17 -20 37
11 Ross County 34 9 8 17 -25 35
12 ST Johnstone 34 8 5 21 -26 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Mar -25 Hearts – Ross County 2–0 29. Dec -24 Ross County – Hearts 2–2 28. Sep -24 Hearts – Ross County 1–1 16. Mar -24 Ross County – Hearts 2–1 30. Dec -23 Hearts – Ross County 2–2

Match report

Ross County Hearts
1–0 R. Hale ⚽
N. Kenneh
26′
40′
⚽ L. Shankland 1–1
B. Baningime
Half-time 1–2
58′
⚽ L. Shankland 1–2
K. Vargas
M. Efete 🔁
↦ J. Brown
62′
K. Phillips 🔁
↦ J. White
62′
J. Nisbet 🔁
↦ N. Kenneh
62′
68′
🟨 Kenneth Vargas
70′
🔁 C. Nieuwenhof
↦ B. Spittal
Zachary Ashworth 🟨
73′
J. Grieves 🔁
↦ G. Harmon
74′
81′
🔁 Y. Dhanda
↦ K. Vargas
82′
⚽ A. Forrest 1–3
L. Shankland
G. Robesten 🔁
↦ A. Samuel
83′
95′
🔁 J. Wilson
↦ A. Forrest
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Ross County

3-4-2-1
18 J. Amissah G
4 A. Wright D
12 J. Tomkinson D
15 Z. Ashworth D
2 J. Brown M
8 C. Randall M
42 N. Kenneh M
16 G. Harmon M
26 J. White F
25 A. Samuel F
9 R. Hale F
Bench (9)
24 M. Efete
11 K. Phillips
23 J. Nisbet
14 J. Grieves
34 G. Robesten
31 L. Ross
30 D. Smith
19 E. Campbell
20 K. Łopata

Coach: D. Cowie

Hearts

4-3-3
1 C. Gordon G
35 A. Forrester D
2 F. Kent D
4 C. Halkett D
29 J. Penrice D
7 J. Grant M
6 B. Baningime M
16 B. Spittal M
77 K. Vargas F
9 L. Shankland F
17 A. Forrest F
Bench (9)
8 C. Nieuwenhof
20 Y. Dhanda
21 J. Wilson
15 M. Steinwender
3 S. Kingsley
12 R. Fulton
19 E. Kabangu
27 S. Kartum
10 B. McKay

Coach: L. Fox

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,87
🔒
U
3,60
🔒
B ✓
1,89
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,02
🔒
U2,5
1,77
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.