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Super League

Referee: L Tschudi

Winterthur

T S U S S

2–0

Full-time

Grasshoppers

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Grasshoppers

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,7

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 23%

24%

21%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

52%

Both score Ø 56%

45%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,32 xG 1,14

42% Possession 58%

13 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 12. · Grasshoppers 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	33	18	7	8	+40	+21.2	61
2	Servette	33	15	10	8	+9	+0.2	55
3	Young Boys	33	15	8	10	+7	+8.6	53
4	Luzern	33	14	9	10	+10	+8.3	51
5	Lugano	33	14	7	12	+1	+8.8	49
6	Lausanne	33	13	8	12	+8	+10.3	47
7	St. Gallen	33	12	11	10	+3	-4.5	47
8	Zurich	33	13	8	12	-4	-2.8	47
9	Sion	33	9	9	15	-10	-0.3	36
10	Grasshoppers	33	7	12	14	-11	-10.7	33
11	Yverdon	33	8	9	16	-24	-15.6	33
12	Winterthur	33	8	6	19	-29	-23.5	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	17	11	4	2	+19	+8.6	37
2	Basel	17	11	2	4	+20	+17.4	35
3	Lausanne	17	10	2	5	+13	+10.8	32
4	Luzern	16	9	4	3	+13	+11.1	31
5	Lugano	17	9	4	4	+6	+11.1	31
6	St. Gallen	16	8	6	2	+11	+6.5	30
7	Servette	16	8	5	3	+6	+5.0	29
8	Sion	16	6	7	3	+8	+11.3	25
9	Zurich	17	6	5	6	-4	-2.2	23
10	Yverdon	16	6	3	7	-4	-2.1	21
11	Winterthur	16	6	2	8	-8	-6.9	20
12	Grasshoppers	17	3	8	6	-3	+4.6	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	16	7	5	4	+20	+3.8	26
2	Servette	17	7	5	5	+3	-4.7	26
3	Zurich	16	7	3	6	+0	-0.6	24
4	Luzern	17	5	5	7	-3	-2.7	20
5	Lugano	16	5	3	8	-5	-2.3	18
6	St. Gallen	17	4	5	8	-8	-11.0	17
7	Grasshoppers	16	4	4	8	-8	-15.3	16
8	Young Boys	16	4	4	8	-12	-0.0	16
9	Lausanne	16	3	6	7	-5	-0.5	15
10	Yverdon	17	2	6	9	-20	-13.4	12
11	Sion	17	3	2	12	-18	-11.6	11
12	Winterthur	17	2	4	11	-21	-16.6	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.