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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Gerach
Ulm
S T S T S
1–2
Full-time
Hannover
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ulm Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 29%
19%
39%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
42%
45%
Both score Ø 54%
55%
52%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
21 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ulm 17. · Hannover 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Koln 31 16 6 9 +10 54
2 Hamburg 31 14 11 6 +26 53
3 Paderborn 32 14 10 8 +12 52
4 Magdeburg 32 13 11 8 +11 50
5 Elversberg 31 13 10 8 +21 49
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 31 13 10 8 +5 49
7 Kaiserslautern 31 14 7 10 +4 49
8 Karlsruhe 31 13 8 10 -1 47
9 Hannover 31 12 10 9 +4 46
10 Nurnberg 31 13 6 12 +3 45
11 Hertha 31 11 7 13 -1 40
12 Darmstadt 31 10 9 12 +4 39
13 Schalke 04 32 10 8 14 -7 38
14 Greuther Furth 31 9 8 14 -14 35
15 Braunschweig 31 8 10 13 -20 34
16 Preußen Münster 32 7 11 14 -5 32
17 Ulm 31 6 11 14 -6 29
18 Regensburg 31 6 5 20 -46 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Dec -24 Hannover – Ulm 3–2

Match report

Ulm Hannover
28′
T. Gaal 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
Semir Telalović 🟨
46′
2–0 S. Telalović
F. Higl
51′
Felix Higl 🟨
52′
60′
🔁 K. Oudenne
↦ Lee Hyun-Ju
67′
J. Knight 2–1
P. Neumann
68′
🟥 Boris Tomiak
Oliver Batista Meier
penalty missed
71′
71′
🟨 Phil Neumann
L. Röser 🔁
↦ F. Higl
73′
73′
🔁 J. Dehm
↦ M. Momuluh
75′
🟨 Josh Knight
Oliver Batista Meier 🟨
78′
A. Kahvić 🔁
↦ O. Batista Meier
81′
R. Rösch 🔁
↦ B. Allgeier
81′
85′
🔁 A. Voglsammer
↦ N. Tresoldi
85′
🔁 M. Christiansen
↦ L. Gindorf
L. Hyryläinen 🔁
↦ T. Gaal
89′
D. Chessa 🔁
↦ M. Brandt
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ulm

3-4-1-2
1 N. Thiede G
4 T. Gaal D
32 P. Strompf D
27 N. Kolbe D
7 B. Allgeier M
23 M. Brandt M
14 D. Dressel M
16 A. Keller M
21 O. Batista Meier F
33 F. Higl F
29 S. Telalović F
Bench (9)
9 L. Röser
22 A. Kahvić
43 R. Rösch
38 L. Hyryläinen
11 D. Chessa
6 T. Geyer
19 J. Meier
39 C. Ortag
10 A. Ludwig

Coach: R. Lechleiter

Hannover

3-4-2-1
1 R. Zieler G
2 J. Knight D
3 B. Tomiak D
5 P. Neumann D
38 M. Momuluh M
8 E. Leopold M
6 F. Kunze M
37 B. Ezeh M
11 Lee Hyun-Ju F
25 L. Gindorf F
9 N. Tresoldi F
Bench (8)
29 K. Oudenne
20 J. Dehm
32 A. Voglsammer
13 M. Christiansen
15 N. Aséko Nkili
21 S. Muroya
14 Husseyn Chakroun
30 L. Weinkauf

Coach: L. Barlemann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,79
U
3,40
B ✓
2,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,85
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Gerach · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.