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Allsvenskan
Hammarby
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Malmo FF
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
83%
100%
Points per game
2,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
4,3
2,3
Scored
3,0
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+2,3
This season — Allsvenskan · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 63%
63%
63%
Points per game
2,1
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
70%
41%
Both score Ø 56%
70%
41%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hammarby 3. · Malmo FF 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 27 17 8 2 +35 59
2 Djurgarden 27 18 5 4 +30 59
3 Hammarby 27 17 5 5 +31 56
4 AIK 27 17 5 5 +20 56
5 Norrkoping 27 14 8 5 +26 50
6 Hacken 28 14 7 7 +19 49
7 Goteborg 27 12 9 6 +12 45
8 Elfsborg 27 9 9 9 -4 36
9 Orebro 27 9 5 13 -8 32
10 Helsingborg 28 7 6 15 -20 27
11 Ostersunds 28 5 10 13 -18 25
12 Sirius 28 7 4 17 -20 25
13 Kalmar 27 4 11 12 -20 23
14 Sundsvall 28 4 8 16 -17 20
15 AFC Eskilstuna 28 4 7 17 -31 19
16 Falkenbergs 27 4 7 16 -35 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Apr -19 Malmo FF – Hammarby 4–1

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.