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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Molde
S S S S U
3–1
Full-time
Haugesund
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Haugesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 48%
67%
29%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
71%
46%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
58%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 1. · Haugesund 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 24 16 5 3 +31 53
2 Bodo/Glimt 24 14 6 4 +20 48
3 Odd 24 13 6 5 +10 45
4 Rosenborg 25 11 8 6 +8 41
5 Viking 24 10 7 7 +8 37
6 Brann 24 9 8 7 +5 35
7 Kristiansund 25 9 8 8 +0 35
8 Haugesund 24 7 10 7 +5 31
9 Valerenga 25 7 8 10 -3 29
10 Stabaek 25 7 8 10 -4 29
11 Lillestrom 24 7 6 11 -9 27
12 Tromso 24 7 4 13 -18 25
13 Sarpsborg 08 24 4 11 9 -7 23
14 Stromsgodset 24 6 5 13 -16 23
15 Mjondalen 24 4 10 10 -14 22
16 Ranheim 24 5 6 13 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Haugesund
21′
🔁 Kristoffer Velde
↦ Niklas Sandberg
1–0 Etzaz Hussain
Fredrik Aursnes
37′
Eirik Hestad 🟨
41′
44′
Pascal Gregor 1–1
Kristoffer Velde
45′
Christian Grindheim 1–2
Kristoffer Velde
45′
Pascal Gregor 1–3
Kristoffer Velde
Half-time 2–3
2–3 Etzaz Hussain
Kristoffer Haugen
71′
3–3 Etzaz Hussain
Kristoffer Haugen
72′
4–3 Ohi Omoijuanfo
Kristoffer Haugen
73′
78′
🔁 Torbjorn Kallevag
↦ Kevin Martin Krygard
Tobias Christensen 🔁
↦ Eirik Hestad
79′
Mathis Bolly 🔁
↦ Leke James
84′
88′
🔁 Douglas Bergqvist
↦ Bruno Leite
Henry Wingo 🔁
↦ Etzaz Hussain
89′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Molde

4-2-3-1
1 Andreas Linde G
18 Kristoffer Haraldseid D
2 Martin Bjornbak D
4 Ruben Gabrielsen D
28 Kristoffer Haugen D
17 Fredrik Aursnes M
16 Etzaz Hussain M
19 Eirik Hestad M
99 Ohi Omoijuanfo M
11 Martin Ellingsen M
10 Leke James F
Bench (7)
12 Alexandro Craninx
5 Vegard Forren
8 Fredrik Sjolstad
15 Tobias Christensen
20 Henry Wingo
30 Mathis Bolly
9 Mattias Mostrom

Coach: E. Moe

Haugesund

4-1-4-1
12 Helge Sandvik G
19 Mikkel Desler D
18 Pascal Gregor D
5 Benjamin Hansen D
23 Thore Baardsen Pedersen D
8 Sondre Tronstad M
10 Niklas Sandberg M
7 Christian Grindheim M
16 Bruno Leite M
34 Kevin Martin Krygard M
11 Martin Samuelsen F
Bench (6)
82 Oskar Snorre Olsen
2 Douglas Bergqvist
13 Kristoff Gunnarshaug
14 Torbjorn Kallevag
33 Kristoffer Velde
20 Ibrahima Kone

Coach: J. Grindhaug

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.