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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Marseille

S U U U T

2–0

Full-time

Strasbourg

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Strasbourg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

33%

22%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 28%

33%

22%

Both score Ø 45%

56%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,1

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

11 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 10. · Strasbourg 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	8	0	2	+16	24
2	Nantes	10	6	1	3	+3	19
3	Reims	10	5	2	3	+5	17
4	Angers	10	5	1	4	+0	16
5	Bordeaux	10	4	3	3	+4	15
6	Lille	10	4	3	3	+3	15
7	Montpellier	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	Brest	10	3	5	2	-2	14
9	St Etienne	10	4	2	4	-4	14
10	Marseille	9	3	4	2	-1	13
11	Nice	10	4	1	5	-4	13
12	Rennes	10	3	3	4	+0	12
13	Amiens	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Monaco	10	3	3	4	-3	12
15	Toulouse	10	3	3	4	-5	12
16	Metz	10	3	2	5	-5	11
17	Lyon	10	2	4	4	+5	10
18	Nimes	10	2	4	4	-2	10
19	Strasbourg	9	2	3	4	-4	9
20	Dijon	10	2	3	5	-5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	6	4	1	1	+9	13
2	Lille	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Nantes	5	4	1	0	+4	13
4	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+10	12
5	Montpellier	5	4	0	1	+4	12
6	Monaco	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Brest	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Toulouse	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Reims	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Strasbourg	5	2	2	1	+0	8
11	Nimes	5	2	1	2	+2	7
12	Metz	5	2	1	2	+1	7
13	Amiens	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Nice	5	2	1	2	-2	7
15	Lyon	5	1	2	2	+4	5
16	Bordeaux	5	1	2	2	+0	5
17	St Etienne	4	1	2	1	+0	5
18	Marseille	4	1	2	1	-1	5
19	Dijon	5	1	2	2	-2	5
20	Rennes	4	1	1	2	-1	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+6	12
2	Bordeaux	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Reims	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	St Etienne	6	3	0	3	-4	9
5	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+1	8
6	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Nantes	5	2	0	3	-1	6
8	Nice	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Lyon	5	1	2	2	+1	5
10	Amiens	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	-5	5
12	Dijon	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Metz	5	1	1	3	-6	4
14	Nimes	5	0	3	2	-4	3
15	Toulouse	5	0	3	2	-5	3
16	Angers	4	1	0	3	-9	3
17	Montpellier	5	0	2	3	-3	2
18	Lille	5	0	2	3	-4	2
19	Monaco	4	0	2	2	-5	2
20	Strasbourg	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.