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Serie A
Referee: P Giacomelli
Sassuolo
S T S T T
3–4
Full-time
Inter
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 60%
33%
86%
Points per game
1,0
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
83%
57%
Both score Ø 55%
67%
43%
Average goals
3,8
2,6
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 15. · Inter 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 8 7 1 0 +8 22
2 Inter 7 6 0 1 +10 18
3 Atalanta 8 5 2 1 +8 17
4 Napoli 8 5 1 2 +7 16
5 Lazio 8 3 3 2 +7 12
6 Roma 7 3 3 1 +2 12
7 Cagliari 7 3 2 2 +3 11
8 Fiorentina 7 3 2 2 +2 11
9 Torino 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Bologna 8 2 3 3 -1 9
11 Verona 8 2 3 3 -1 9
12 Parma 7 3 0 4 -2 9
13 Milan 7 3 0 4 -3 9
14 Udinese 7 2 1 4 -3 7
15 Sassuolo 6 2 0 4 -1 6
16 Brescia 6 2 0 4 -2 6
17 Spal 7 2 0 5 -7 6
18 Lecce 7 2 0 5 -8 6
19 Genoa 7 1 2 4 -7 5
20 Sampdoria 7 1 0 6 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Inter
2′
Lautaro Martínez 0–1
1–1 Domenico Berardi
16′
Pedro Obiang 🟨
24′
Alfred Duncan 🟨
34′
38′
Romelu Lukaku 1–2
Stefan de Vrij
Francesco Magnanelli 🟨
40′
42′
🟨 Stefan de Vrij
45′
Romelu Lukaku 1–3
Half-time 1–3
Jérémie Boga 🔁
↦ Pedro Obiang
52′
Filip Đuričić 🔁
↦ Hamed Junior Traorè
66′
71′
Lautaro Martínez 1–4
72′
🔁 Matteo Politano
↦ Lautaro Martínez
73′
🔁 Valentino Lazaro
↦ Antonio Candreva
2–4 Filip Đuričić
Francesco Caputo
74′
Mert Müldür 🟨
74′
75′
🟨 Valentino Lazaro
Jeremy Toljan 🔁
↦ Mert Müldür
76′
3–4 Jérémie Boga
81′
4–4 Jérémie Boga
82′
90′
🟨 Alessandro Bastoni
90′
🔁 Matías Vecino
↦ Romelu Lukaku
Full-time 4–4

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-1-2
47 Andrea Consigli G
17 Mert Müldür D
2 Marlon D
13 Federico Peluso D
33 Alessandro Tripaldelli D
8 Alfred Duncan M
4 Francesco Magnanelli M
14 Pedro Obiang M
23 Hamed Junior Traorè M
25 Domenico Berardi F
9 Francesco Caputo F
Bench (12)
64 Alessandro Russo
63 Stefano Turati
19 Filippo Romagna
35 Stefano Piccinini
77 Giorgos Kyriakopoulos
22 Jeremy Toljan
73 Manuel Locatelli
44 Andrea Ghion
10 Filip Đuričić
11 Grégoire Defrel
7 Jérémie Boga
18 Giacomo Raspadori

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Inter

3-5-2
1 Samir Handanovič G
37 Milan Škriniar D
6 Stefan de Vrij D
95 Alessandro Bastoni D
87 Antonio Candreva M
5 Roberto Gagliardini M
77 Marcelo Brozović M
23 Nicolò Barella M
34 Cristiano Biraghi M
9 Romelu Lukaku F
10 Lautaro Martínez F
Bench (11)
27 Daniele Padelli
46 Tommaso Berni
2 Diego Godín
13 Andrea Ranocchia
21 Federico Dimarco
18 Kwadwo Asamoah
8 Matías Vecino
20 Borja Valero
16 Matteo Politano
19 Valentino Lazaro
30 Sebastiano Esposito

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,15
U
3,79
B ✓
1,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Giacomelli · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.