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Super League

Referee: N Dabanović

Panathinaikos

S S T S S

1–1

Full-time

AEK

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,3

This season — Super League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 52%

50%

54%

Points per game

1,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

39%

64%

Both score Ø 42%

29%

54%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

2 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 28

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 5. · AEK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	30	23	5	2	+35	74
2	PAOK	28	16	6	6	+25	54
3	AEK	28	15	4	9	+14	49
4	Giannina	28	13	7	8	+11	46
5	Panathinaikos	28	14	3	11	+21	45
6	Aris Thessalonikis	27	13	6	8	+6	45
7	Aris	27	13	6	8	+6	45
8	OFI Crete	28	9	12	7	+1	39
9	Asteras Tripolis	28	10	5	13	-5	35
10	Volos NFC	28	9	6	13	-6	33
11	Panetolikos	28	9	5	14	-18	32
12	Ionikos	28	7	8	13	-8	29
13	Atromitos	28	6	5	17	-25	23
14	Lamia	28	4	7	17	-19	19
15	Apollon	28	2	9	17	-38	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	14	2	0	+22	44
2	Panathinaikos	14	10	2	2	+23	32
3	AEK	14	9	1	4	+12	28
4	PAOK	14	8	3	3	+11	27
5	Giannina	14	8	3	3	+7	27
6	Aris Thessalonikis	13	7	4	2	+5	25
7	Aris	13	7	4	2	+5	25
8	Asteras Tripolis	14	7	1	6	+2	22
9	OFI Crete	14	5	6	3	+1	21
10	Ionikos	14	5	4	5	+1	19
11	Atromitos	14	5	2	7	-4	17
12	Volos NFC	14	5	2	7	-4	17
13	Panetolikos	14	4	3	7	-6	15
14	Apollon	14	1	7	6	-12	10
15	Lamia	14	2	3	9	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	9	3	2	+13	30
2	PAOK	14	8	3	3	+14	27
3	AEK	14	6	3	5	+2	21
4	Aris Thessalonikis	14	6	2	6	+1	20
5	Aris	14	6	2	6	+1	20
6	Giannina	14	5	4	5	+4	19
7	OFI Crete	14	4	6	4	+0	18
8	Panetolikos	14	5	2	7	-12	17
9	Volos NFC	14	4	4	6	-2	16
10	Panathinaikos	14	4	1	9	-2	13
11	Asteras Tripolis	14	3	4	7	-7	13
12	Lamia	14	2	4	8	-8	10
13	Ionikos	14	2	4	8	-9	10
14	Atromitos	14	1	3	10	-21	6
15	Apollon	14	1	2	11	-26	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.