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Bundesliga
Referee: S Jablonski
1–6
Full-time
RB Leipzig
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 30%
12%
48%
Points per game
0,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
72%
52%
Both score Ø 64%
68%
60%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
0,9
2,0
Conceded
2,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

47% Possession 53%
7 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 3
0 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 18. · RB Leipzig 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 26 19 3 4 +49 60
2 Dortmund 25 17 2 6 +28 53
3 Leverkusen 26 13 6 7 +23 45
4 Freiburg 26 12 8 6 +14 44
5 Hoffenheim 26 13 5 8 +12 44
6 RB Leipzig 25 12 5 8 +22 41
7 FC Koln 26 10 9 7 -2 39
8 Union Berlin 26 10 8 8 -1 38
9 Ein Frankfurt 26 10 7 9 +1 37
10 Mainz 24 10 4 10 +6 34
11 Bochum 26 9 5 12 -9 32
12 Wolfsburg 26 9 4 13 -11 31
13 M'gladbach 26 8 6 12 -15 30
14 Augsburg 25 6 8 11 -14 26
15 Bielefeld 26 5 10 11 -12 25
16 Stuttgart 26 5 8 13 -16 23
17 Hertha 26 6 5 15 -34 23
18 Greuther Furth 25 3 5 17 -41 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth RB Leipzig
1–0 J. Leweling
4′
17′
André Silva 1–1
Angeliño
Jetro Willems 🟨
23′
32′
E. Forsberg 1–2
C. Nkunku
34′
K. Laimer 1–3
C. Nkunku
45′
B. Henrichs 1–4
Angeliño
Half-time 1–4
T. Tillman 🔁
↦ J. Green
46′
G. Itter 🔁
↦ J. Willems
46′
58′
M. Simakan 1–5
E. Forsberg
59′
🔁 M. Halstenberg
↦ J. Gvardiol
59′
🔁 D. Szoboszlai
↦ A. Haïdara
69′
C. Nkunku 1–6
E. Forsberg
70′
🔁 Hugo Novoa
↦ Angeliño
71′
🔁 Y. Poulsen
↦ C. Nkunku
D. Abiama 🔁
↦ H. Nielsen
73′
T. Raschl 🔁
↦ P. Seguin
74′
S. Asta 🔁
↦ M. Bauer
75′
78′
🔁 T. Adams
↦ K. Laimer
Dickson Abiama 🟨
87′
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

4-3-1-2
26 A. Linde G
24 N. Viergever D
15 J. Willems D
18 M. Meyerhöfer D
4 M. Bauer D
13 M. Christiansen M
33 P. Seguin M
37 J. Green M
40 J. Leweling F
16 H. Nielsen M
10 B. Hrgota F
Bench (6)
21 T. Tillman
27 G. Itter
11 D. Abiama
20 T. Raschl
2 S. Asta
30 S. Burchert

Coach: S. Leitl

RB Leipzig

3-4-1-2
1 P. Gulácsi G
4 W. Orban D
39 B. Henrichs M
3 Angeliño M
2 M. Simakan D
32 J. Gvardiol D
10 E. Forsberg F
27 K. Laimer M
18 C. Nkunku F
8 A. Haïdara M
33 André Silva F
Bench (9)
23 M. Halstenberg
17 D. Szoboszlai
38 Hugo Novoa
9 Y. Poulsen
14 T. Adams
16 L. Klostermann
13 P. Tschauner
22 N. Mukiele
31 Josep Martínez

Coach: D. Tedesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,43
U
5,37
B ✓
1,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,44
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.