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Ligue 1
Referee: B Dechepy
Clermont
S T S U T
0–2
Full-time
Lorient
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 23%
26%
19%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
48%
37%
Both score Ø 48%
44%
52%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Clermont 16. · Lorient 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 28 20 5 3 +35 65
2 Nice 28 15 6 7 +17 51
3 Marseille 27 13 8 6 +14 47
4 Rennes 27 14 4 9 +28 46
5 Strasbourg 27 12 8 7 +17 44
6 Lille 28 11 10 7 +2 43
7 Nantes 28 12 6 10 +6 42
8 Lyon 27 11 9 7 +5 42
9 Monaco 27 11 8 8 +11 41
10 Lens 27 11 7 9 +4 40
11 Montpellier 28 11 5 12 +1 38
12 Brest 27 9 8 10 -3 35
13 Reims 27 7 11 9 +0 32
14 Angers 27 7 8 12 -9 29
15 Troyes 28 7 7 14 -15 28
16 Clermont 27 7 7 13 -19 28
17 St Etienne 28 6 8 14 -22 26
18 Lorient 27 5 9 13 -21 24
19 Metz 27 4 10 13 -21 22
20 Bordeaux 28 4 10 14 -30 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Clermont Lorient
Half-time 0–0
Johan Gastien 🟨
49′
53′
🟨 Bonke Innocent
61′
🔁 S. Diarra
↦ Q. Boisgard
61′
🔁 I. Koné
↦ T. Moffi
J. Allevinah 🔁
↦ L. Da Cunha
69′
M. Bayo 🔁
↦ G. Kyei
69′
J. Dossou 🔁
↦ E. Rashani
69′
72′
I. Koné 0–1
76′
L. Pétrot 0–2
83′
🟨 Ibrahima Kone
S. Khaoui 🔁
↦ J. Berthomier
83′
86′
🔁 Dango Ouattara
↦ A. Laurienté
91′
🔁 Igor Silva
↦ E. Le Fée
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Clermont

4-1-4-1
40 O. Djoco G
4 C. Hountondji D
12 V. N'Simba D
20 A. Zedadka D
36 A. Seidu D
25 J. Gastien M
18 E. Rashani M
8 J. Berthomier M
7 Y. Magnin M
9 G. Kyei F
10 L. Da Cunha M
Bench (9)
11 J. Allevinah
27 M. Bayo
24 J. Dossou
6 S. Khaoui
1 A. Desmas
23 J. Phojo
22 Oriol Busquets
5 J. Billong
21 F. Ogier

Coach: P. Gastien

Lorient

4-1-4-1
1 M. Dreyer G
25 V. Le Goff D
15 J. Laporte D
19 L. Pétrot D
17 H. Mendes D
23 T. Monconduit M
8 B. Innocent M
11 Q. Boisgard M
10 E. Le Fée M
28 A. Laurienté M
13 T. Moffi F
Bench (9)
7 S. Diarra
9 I. Koné
38 Dango Ouattara
2 Igor Silva
22 S. Soumano
14 J. Hergault
30 P. Nardi
21 J. Morel
3 M. Jenz

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,33
U
3,04
B ✓
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Dechepy · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.