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Eredivisie

Referee: P van Boekel

AZ Alkmaar

S S S S S

0–1

Full-time

Twente

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Twente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 23/25 matches

Win Ø 61%

65%

56%

Points per game

2,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

74%

52%

Both score Ø 65%

70%

60%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,6

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

7 Shots 7

0 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 3

3 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 5. · Twente 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	26	20	3	3	+66	63
2	PSV Eindhoven	26	20	1	5	+32	61
3	Feyenoord	26	17	4	5	+35	55
4	Twente	25	14	6	5	+9	48
5	AZ Alkmaar	23	15	2	6	+19	47
6	Utrecht	24	11	6	7	+11	39
7	Vitesse	22	11	3	8	-7	36
8	Groningen	26	8	9	9	-4	33
9	Cambuur	26	10	3	13	-12	33
10	Nijmegen	26	8	7	11	-10	31
11	Heracles	26	7	6	13	-8	27
12	Heerenveen	25	7	6	12	-12	27
13	Go Ahead Eagles	26	7	6	13	-16	27
14	Waalwijk	26	5	9	12	-14	24
15	Willem II	26	6	4	16	-23	22
16	For Sittard	25	6	4	15	-27	22
17	Sparta Rotterdam	24	4	8	12	-18	20
18	Zwolle	26	5	5	16	-21	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	10	1	2	+44	31
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	0	3	+17	30
3	Feyenoord	13	9	2	2	+20	29
4	AZ Alkmaar	12	9	2	1	+16	29
5	Twente	12	7	4	1	+10	25
6	Heracles	14	7	4	3	+6	25
7	Utrecht	12	7	3	2	+13	24
8	Groningen	13	4	6	3	+2	18
9	Cambuur	13	5	1	7	-4	16
10	Go Ahead Eagles	13	5	1	7	-4	16
11	Sparta Rotterdam	14	3	5	6	-7	14
12	Willem II	13	4	2	7	-8	14
13	For Sittard	12	4	2	6	-10	14
14	Waalwijk	13	4	2	7	-10	14
15	Vitesse	10	4	1	5	-8	13
16	Heerenveen	12	3	2	7	-7	11
17	Nijmegen	12	2	4	6	-6	10
18	Zwolle	13	2	4	7	-6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	10	2	1	+22	32
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	1	2	+15	31
3	Feyenoord	13	8	2	3	+15	26
4	Vitesse	12	7	2	3	+1	23
5	Twente	13	7	2	4	-1	23
6	Nijmegen	14	6	3	5	-4	21
7	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	0	5	+3	18
8	Cambuur	13	5	2	6	-8	17
9	Heerenveen	13	4	4	5	-5	16
10	Utrecht	12	4	3	5	-2	15
11	Groningen	13	4	3	6	-6	15
12	Go Ahead Eagles	13	2	5	6	-12	11
13	Waalwijk	13	1	7	5	-4	10
14	Zwolle	13	3	1	9	-15	10
15	Willem II	13	2	2	9	-15	8
16	For Sittard	13	2	2	9	-17	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	3	6	-11	6
18	Heracles	12	0	2	10	-14	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.